Illinois vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Nov. 20 (Cavaliers Stay Hot on Offense to Remain Unbeaten)

Larry Rupp
Illinois vs Virginia prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Illinois vs Virginia prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Mike Kropf

Illinois vs Virginia Game Info

2022-23 NCAA College Basketball Regular Season Game
No. 19 Illinois Fighting Illini (4-0) vs. No. 16 Virginia Cavaliers (3-0)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
Venue: T-Mobile Arena — Las Vegas, NV
Coverage: ESPN

The 2022-23 college basketball season continues on Sunday with an exciting matchup between the No. 19 Illinois Fighting Illini and No. 16 Virginia Cavaliers. Illinois mounted a second-half comeback against UCLA on Friday, winning by a score of 79-70. Senior Terrence Shannon Jr. dropped 29 points.

Meanwhile, Virginia relied on its excellence beyond the arc to pull off a second-half comeback of its own on Friday. The Cavaliers took down the Bears by a score of 86-79 and shot 9-of-14 from three-point range. Armaan Franklin led the team with 26 points, while Reece Beekman logged 10 assists.

Illinois vs Virginia Odds & Spread

All NCAA college basketball betting lines, odds and prop bets.
Moneyline: ILL: (-118) | UVA: (-102)
Spread: ILL: -1.5 (-106) | UVA: +1.5 (-114)
Total: 132.5 —Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Virginia enters this contest as slight favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 3 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 132.5 points, which is below average compared to Sunday's projected totals.

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Illinois vs Virginia Prediction & Pick

Fans are in for a battle here as Illinois and Virginia look to make an early statement before conference play starts. The Cavaliers are doing exactly what they weren't doing last year and that is hitting threes. Head coach Tony Bennett's squad is shooting a stellar 51.6% from beyond the arc (No. 2 in NCAA).

That is not great news for a Fighting Illini defense that just allowed the Bruins to shoot 40.9% from three-point range. Illinois is also not accustomed to playing at the slow pace that Virginia has become known for over the years. I see the Cavaliers getting out to an early lead and never letting it go.

Final Score Prediction: Illinois: 60 | Virginia: 65

Illinois vs UCLA Betting Trends

- This is the first all-time head-to-head matchup between Illinois and Virginia.
- The total has hit the over in two of Illinois' last three games.
- Virginia is 2-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games.
- The total has hit the over in each of Virginia's last two games.

Illinois vs Virginia Best Bet

Shooting regression is coming at some point for the Cavaliers, but I'm not going to stop backing them until it happens. Virginia ranks 17th in the country in shooting percentage (51.4%) and also ranks 18th in the nation in second half points per game (46.0). Bennett has hit all of the right buttons at halftime.

Yes, Shannon has been a scoring machine for Illinois. However, he is one of just two Fighting Illini players putting up over 10.0 points per game. If Virginia can simply shut him down, it has a chance to pull away in this one by the end. The Cavaliers have six players averaging at least 8.0 points per game.

Bet: Virginia Cavaliers ML (-102)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.