NHL - Betting

Golden Knights vs Avalanche Odds, Betting Lines, Picks & Preview for NHL Playoffs Game 6 on FanDuel Sportsbook

Elisha Twerski
Jun 10, 2021, 12:03 PM EDT
Vegas Golden Knights v Colorado Avalanche - Game Five
Vegas Golden Knights v Colorado Avalanche - Game Five / Justin Edmonds/Getty Images
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Golden Knights vs Avalanche NHL Game 6 Info

NHL Playoffs Game 6 (VGK leads series 3-2)
Vegas Golden Knights (40-14-2) vs. Colorado Avalanche (39-13-4)
Date: Thursday, June 10, 2021
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Venue: T-Mobile Arena – Las Vegas, NV

Golden Knights vs Avalanche Moneyline, Total and Odds

All are available on FanDuel Sportsbook
Moneyline: Golden Knights -138 | Avalanche +118
Spread:
Golden Knights -1.5 (+198) | Avalanche +1.5 (-245)
Total:
5.5 Over +102 | Under -124
Odds to Win Stanley Cup:
Golden Knights +230 | Avalanche +450

Golden Knights vs Avalanche Predictions and Picks

  • Golden Knights moneyline (-138)

Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche News, Analysis, and Picks

We are down to five teams in the NHL Playoffs. The Vegas Golden Knights' best chance of whittling it down to four teams comes on home ice at the T-Mobile Arena. The Knights have the Colorado Avalanche on the ropes, holding a 3-2 series advantage with their last home game of the series happening tonight.

The betting market at FanDuel Sportsbook has the Knights installed as moderately priced home favorites, but based on our analysis, that current line doesn't do the Knights justice.

Vegas has outplayed the Avalanche by a substantial margin in three of the last four games. The Golden Knights put up an expected goals-for percentage above 68.0% in those three games, dominating the Avs on both ends of the ice. The Knights out-chanced the Avs 41-17 in high-danger chances across the three games and 89-49 in scoring chances at five-on-five. That's a substantive margin over a three-game span. There was an even bigger discrepancy in shots, as the Knights out-shot the Avs 99-49 at five-on-five, out-possessing them in all three games.

The kicker -- the Knights' two best performances came on home ice. Vegas' advantage in high-danger opportunities was an astounding 32-9 and 66-31 in scoring chances. The ice was tilted in Vegas' favor for the entirety of both games.

Philipp Grubauer has been a broken man since allowing two tough goals in the final six minutes of Game 3. Since then, Grubauer has stopped 86.0% of shots at five-on-five, 88.6% of shots overall, and 68.8% of shots from high-danger areas. Grubauer appears to be in a correction phase after overachieving early in the postseason and will have to overcome regression on the road, where he's posted a 91.5% save percentage, compared to 93.3% on home ice.

Home ice has been a big advantage in this series, with the home team out-chancing the visitors in high-danger chances across all strengths in every game. The Avs' struggles on the road date back to the opening round, as they have attempted more than eight high-danger chances across all strengths just once in four games, putting up an average of 8.0 opportunities per game. That's not going to cut it against a team that put up 34 high-danger chances in the first two home games of this series.

The last thing the Knights want is to pack up shop and head back to Denver for a Game 7. They have been dominant in the attacking and defensive zones, leaving the Avs with limited to no room for error. The betting line doesn't accurately reflect the Knights' chances. We're backing Vegas on home ice.

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