The Duel

Ezekiel Elliott is Being Disrespected in Odds to Win the 2020 NFL MVP Award

Tristan Jung
Ezekiel Elliott is a long shot to win the NFL MVP Award.
Ezekiel Elliott is a long shot to win the NFL MVP Award. / Ronald Martinez/Getty Images
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There were questions about Ezekiel Elliott heading into 2019 after a long holdout and tense negotiations with Jerry Jones. However, Elliott was ready in time for the season and he delivered with a second straight 1,300+ yard season and 14 total touchdowns.

Elliott has topped 1,300 yards in three of his four NFL seasons and has established himself as one of the league's most productive backs. However, he lost out in the MVP voting to Lamar Jackson, who had a historical season in 2019.

Ezekiel Elliott MVP Odds 2020

On the odds for next year's MVP, listed on FanDuel Sportsbook, Elliott currently sits at +6500 to win the award. That translates to a 1.52% implied probability, well behind favorite Patrick Mahomes (+380) and last year's winner Lamar Jackson (+600).

No running back has won NFL MVP since Adrian Peterson in 2012. However, of the backs capable of flirting with 2,000 yards rushing like Peterson did, Elliott is among them. In all of his full seasons, Elliott has gotten at least 300 carries from the Cowboys, and that probably won't change with Mike McCarthy now in charge of the team.

Elliott also averaged 4.4 targets per game last year. He's progressed greatly as a pass-catcher since arriving to the league, and those numbers just pad an already excellent statline. Elliott already topped 2,000 yards from scrimmage in 2018 and came just six yards short in his rookie year. He also has a great offensive line to help him make use of his natural skill.

All of these great numbers suggest that Elliott's MVP candidacy is undervalued by oddsmakers at his current price. Part of that is due to the uncertainty at quarterback for the Cowboys, who must find a way to re-sign Dak Prescott this offseason.

If the Cowboys can re-sign Prescott and continue to have one of the best offensive lines in football, there's no reason Elliott can't emerge as an MVP candidate as the year goes along.


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Tristan Jung is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Tristan Jung also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username tristan1117. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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