College Football ATS Matchups to Exploit in Week 2
With the second week of the college football season kicking off tonight, we have a little more information about what the teams might look like the rest of the way.
And using that info can help us take note of certain trends. With that in mind, here are three against the spread (ATS) matchups to exploit in Week 2 of the 2019 college football season.
1. Army Black Knights (+23) vs No. 7 Michigan Wolverines
The Army Black Knights and the other two armed forces academies (Air Force and the Naval Academy) aren't exactly football powerhouses, but they do perform well in the situation the Black Knights find themselves in this weekend. Since 1995, the three U.S. service academies are a combined 38-11-1 against the spread (ATS) as underdogs of more than three touchdowns (+21.5 points or higher). In Army's most recent matchup under these circumstances, they took the then-No. 7 Oklahoma Sooners to overtime, ultimately losing 28-21. We could see more of the same against Michigan on Saturday.
2. No. 6 LSU Tigers vs No. 10 Texas Longhorns (+6.5)
This will be the first top-10 matchup of the 2019 college football season. While LSU is higher ranked and the favorite by 6.5 points, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, recent trends suggest this line can potentially be exploited. Looking back to last season, Texas finished the season with a 6-1 home record and outscored Top-25 opponents by an average of over 17 points there. Conversely LSU is 1-7-1 all time in Austin, Tex.
3. New Mexico State Aggies (+55.5) vs No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama is arguably the best team in the nation and the Crimson Tide are going up against a New Mexico State team that most people can't name a single player on. However, this spread could still present a problem for the Tide. In Nick Saban's 12 years in Tuscaloosa, his team has never covered a spread over 50 points. So while this game projects to be a blowout, covering such a big number would be a first for Alabama.
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David Kaestle is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, David also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username davekaestle. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.