3 Best Joe Burrow Prop Bets for Bengals vs Chiefs AFC Championship Game
By Max Staley
Joe Burrow isn't the best quarterback in football, but he is sure playing like it. The 25-year-old has completely transformed the Cincinnati Bengals franchise, leading a team that finished 2-14 in 2019 to an appearance in the AFC Championship in just his second NFL season.
Bengals vs Chiefs Odds
The odds say Burrow's magical run will stop there. FanDuel Sportsbook lists Cincinnati as a 7.5-point underdog against the Kansas City Chiefs.
But it's impossible to count this guy out. And if you're looking to wager on the Bengals' QB, there are a wide variety of player props available on FanDuel Sportsbook. Here are three of the best Burrow-centric player props heading into the AFC Championship.
Joe Burrow Player Props
3. Joe Burrow - Passing Touchdowns: Over 1.5 (-205)
You'll notice a running theme here: Burrow is going to have a big day. This isn't a guarantee that the former Heisman Trophy winner is going to have the most efficient game, but it's just hard to see an outcome where Burrow isn't tasked with throwing the ball early and often. Kansas City is a hefty 7.5-point favorite, suggesting Cincinnati might be playing catch on Sunday. That should translate into a ton of attempts for Cincinnati's star QB. And if he's throwing more than he typically does, it's really hard to see him missing this. Burrow has thrown at least 2 touchdowns in three of his last four games (and four of his last six). All told, he's had multiple TD passes in 12 of his 18 appearances this season, cashing this prop at a 66.6% clip. The value isn't really there at -205, but this feels like one of the safer props out there this weekend.
2. Joe Burrow - Longest Pass: Over 39.5 (-108)
Kansas City has done a pretty good job stopping chunk plays in the passing game, allowing an explosive pass play at a bottom-12 rate (8%). But they've gotten torched by elite passing offenses recently. The Buffalo Bills were generating chunk plays at will in the Divisional Round, highlighted by Gabriel Davis' 75-yard touchdown. This Bengals team was even more effective in that regard back in Week 17. Ja'Marr Chase had receptions go for 72, 69 and 30 yards, and Tee Higgins chipped in with a 39-yard reception. That's not all that flukey, either. The Bengals generated an explosive pass play at the fifth-highest rate in the league this year. In fact, they've had a reception go for 57-plus yards in three of their last four games, generating six receptions of at least 40 yards in that span. Expect someone to get behind this secondary at least once on Sunday.
1. Joe Burrow - Passing Yards: Over 287.5 (-114)
Joe Burrow is likely going to be asked to play some hero ball on Sunday. If his team is trailing, expect Burrow to throw this team on his back and keep Cincinnati in the game. He's recorded 300-plus passing yards in five of his last seven games, averaging 338.3 per game in that time. Don't forget, a whopping 446 of those yards came against this KC defense back in Week 17. If Burrow's pass protection holds up, he should have no trouble cashing this prop on Sunday.
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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.