Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 March Madness

David Hayes
Baylor v Gonzaga
Baylor v Gonzaga / Patrick Smith
facebooktwitterreddit

Cover Photo: Getty Images

There's no denying we've seen an unusually mild dose of upsets and March Madness in the 2019 NCAA Tournament, but there's still plenty of basketball left to be played and plenty of brackets to be busted.

With the first two rounds of this year's bracket already in the books, here are the eight best bets to keep an eye on as we dive into the Sweet 16.

1. No. 1 Gonzaga vs No. 4 Florida State – Gonzaga: Over 77.5 Points (-115)

Getty Images
Getty Images / Harry How

The Gonzaga Bulldogs boast the No. 1 scoring offense in the country, averaging 88.6 points per game (PPG) on the season and 85.0 PPG between their first two matchups of the NCAA Tournament. Gonzaga has also scored at least 78 points in seven of its last nine contests. Florida State has faced five Top-25 scoring offenses this season, and the Seminoles allowed an average of 77.8 PPG in those matchups.


All Gonzaga-Florida State odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook

2. No. 2 Tennessee vs No. 3 Purdue – Tennessee: Over 73.5 Points (-120)

Getty Images
Getty Images / Andy Lyons

The Tennessee Volunteers are an offensive juggernaut, averaging 81.5 PPG on the season – the 10th-highest mark in the NCAA. The Vols have scored 77 and 83 points in their two tournament games thus far, and they've also dropped 75 or more points in five of their last six games.

All Tennessee-Purdue odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook

3. No. 2 Michigan vs No. 3 Texas Tech – Michigan: Under 64.5 Points (-120)

Getty Images
Getty Images / Gregory Shamus

The Texas Tech Red Raiders have the third-best scoring defense in the country this season, surrendering just 59.2 PPG. But the Michigan Wolverines are even better on that side of the ball. Michigan boasts the No. 2 scoring defense in the NCAA, allowing only 58.2 PPG this season. However, the Wolverines have just the No. 224 scoring offense in the nation, averaging 66 PPG over their last three contests. Look for a low-scoring result from both teams this Thursday.

All Michigan-Texas Tech odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook

4. No. 1 Virginia vs No. 12 Oregon – Virginia: Under 63.5 Points (-110)

Getty Images
Getty Images / Kevin C. Cox

This will probably be an ugly, defensive brawl between two offenses that run at a slower pace. The Oregon Ducks surrender only 62.5 PPG on the season, and they've allowed just 54.0 PPG between both of their NCAA Tournament games thus far. The most comparable test to Oregon's 11th-best scoring defense the Virginia Cavaliers have faced this season is likely Wisconsin (No. 9 in the NCAA). And the Badgers' defense held UVA to a season-low 53 points in that matchup. Not to mention, the Cavaliers managed only 63 points in their second-round matchup against Oklahoma.

All Virginia-Oregon odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook

5. No. 2 Michigan State vs No. 3 LSU – LSU: Over 71.5 Points (-115)

Getty Images
Getty Images / Mike Ehrmann

The LSU Tigers are averaging 80.9 PPG on the year, and the Tigers really know how to put up points against top competition. The Tigers scored at least 73 points in all five of their regular-season matchups with Top-25 AP teams. LSU also averaged 80.0 PPG in its nine regular-season games against NCAA Tournament teams.

All Michigan State-LSU odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook

6. No. 1 UNC vs No. 5 Auburn – Auburn: Under 79 Points (-115)

Getty Images
Getty Images / Elsa

The Auburn Tigers have consistently lit up the scoreboard this season, averaging an impressive 79.7 PPG on the year. However, there are quite a few teams that can attest to the difficulty of scoring 80 or more points on this North Carolina defense. UNC hasn't allowed any of its last five Top-25 AP opponents to score more than 79 points, and the Tar Heels have surrendered more than 79 points just once in their last 12 games.

All UNC-Auburn odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook

7. No. 1 Duke vs No. 4 Virginia Tech – Duke: Over 75.5 Points (-115)

Getty Images
Getty Images / Kevin C. Cox

The Virginia Tech Hokies held the Blue Devils to 72 points in their first matchup against the Duke Blue Devils this season, but Duke didn't have Zion Williamson on the floor that night. The Blue Devils have put up at least 76 points in both of their two NCAA Tournament games, and Duke is averaging 78.6 PPG in its five contests since Williamson's return from injury.

All Duke-Virginia Tech odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook

8. No. 2 Kentucky vs No. 3 Houston – Houston: Under 66.5 Points (-115)

Getty Images
Getty Images / Mike Ehrmann

The Houston Cougars have proven they can put a ton of points on the board against lesser competition, but scoring against ranked opponents has been a completely different story this season. The Cougars have scored more than 67 points in just one of their four matchups against teams in the AP Top-25 poll, and Kentucky ended the season ranked No. 7 in the final poll. Kentucky is also holding opponents to just 64.5 PPG on the season.


All Kentucky-Houston odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook


Build your free bracket today, unlike other brackets, our $250,000 payout is guaranteed! It’s tournament time, and this year, you can get a piece of the action for FREE. Fill out your free bracket today, then come back to bet all throughout the tournament. https://www.fanduel.com/march-madness


David Hayes is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, David Hayes also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username DavidWHayes. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

facebooktwitterreddit