The Duel

Arkansas vs Gonzaga Odds, Predictions & Best Bet Today (Bulldogs Favored by Too Much?)

Jason Schandl
Gonzaga vs Arkansas odds & predictions for today's March Madness NCAA Tournament game.
Gonzaga vs Arkansas odds & predictions for today's March Madness NCAA Tournament game. / Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

Today's slate of March Madness NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 games features a showdown in the Region between the No. 4 Arkansas Razorback and No. 1 Gonzaga Bulldogs.

FanDuel Sportsbook has you covered with all the odds you need for the game, and here's a rundown of the betting lines as well as some predictions for tonight's game.

Arkansas vs Gonzaga Odds & Point Spread Tonight

Moneyline: ARK: (+385) | ZAGA: (-520)
Spread: ARK: +10 (-110) | ZAGA: -10 (-110)
Total: 155.0 — Over (-110) | Under (-110)
Odds to Win National Championship: ARK (+5000) | ZAGA (+240)

Arkansas vs Gonzaga March Madness Prediction & Best Bet

The Gonzaga vs Arkansas projection on numberFire gives the Bulldogs a 70.3% chance of winning, which actually makes the underdog Arkansas the best bet in this game. The +385 moneyline gives the Razorbacks an implied win probability of 20.6% — much lower than numberFire's 29.7% projection.

The Razorbacks haven't exactly had the toughest path to the Sweet 16, defeating No. 13 Vermont and No. 12 New Mexico State, in what were both close games.

Arkansas is still KenPom's No. 18 ranked team in the nation, however, and their elite defense could help them keep this one a little more low-scoring than we're used to seeing from Gonzaga. A low-scoring game tends to favor a big underdog, as it leaves more room for a small handful of key plays to be the difference-maker.

The pick is obviously for Gonzaga to win, but if you're looking for betting value you'll want to back the underdogs here.

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