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Alvin Kamara Fantasy Outlook Paints Him as a High-Risk, High-Reward Running Back

Larry Rupp
Alvin Kamara's fantasy outlook comes with the risk of regression in 2021.
Alvin Kamara's fantasy outlook comes with the risk of regression in 2021. / Chris Graythen/Getty Images

This will be the first NFL season running back Alvin Kamara will play without quarterback Drew Brees at the helm. While Kamara looks poised for another big year, he also comes with a lot of risks as the New Orleans Saints are entering a new era of football with uncertainty surrounding the QB position.

Alvin Kamara Fantasy Value

Kamara's 2020 season was nothing short of dominant as he posted a career-high 1,688 yards from scrimmage on 270 touches and scored 21 total touchdowns. He was a force to be reckoned with anywhere on the field as the 26-year-old posted 932 yards on the ground and 756 through the air.

All in all, Kamara finished the season as the No. 1 running back in PRR scoring fantasy football leagues. The only thing seemingly standing in his way from repeating that kind of performance is the question of how well he will gel with Jameis Winston and/or Taysom Hill.

There are two ways to look at this situation. On one side, Hill did start eight games for the Saints last season and Kamara had no trouble racking up yards down the field. On the other side, Kamara has had no experience playing with Jameis Winston, a QB who has always played in pass-heavy offenses.

Wide receiver Michael Thomas is also expected to miss at least the first few weeks of the season, which could spell even more opportunities for Kamara.

With at least 81 receptions in each of his first four NFL seasons and a total of 43 touchdowns, Kamara has proven that he has top-3 upside every year in fantasy football. The 2021 season simply comes with much more risk than before.

Kamara has an average draft position of No. 3 overall in PPR scoring league, according to FantasyPros. He checks in at RB4 in The Duel's 2021 fantasy football rankings.

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.