The Duel

Chris Godwin Fantasy Outlook Remains High With Tom Brady at QB

Max Staley
Chris Godwin's fantasy outlook makes him a great fit with Tom Brady.
Chris Godwin's fantasy outlook makes him a great fit with Tom Brady. / Gregory Shamus/Getty Images
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Chris Godwin was a revelation last season. A popular breakout pick by many fantasy analysts, Godwin delivered on that promise and then some. He finished as the WR2 in PPR leagues, tallying 86 catches for 1,333 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns.

The change from Jameis Winston to Tom Brady has, oddly enough, scared some people off, but there's no reason to believe Brady will hurt Godwin's value much in 2020.

Chris Godwin Fantasy Football Outlook 2020

Godwin saw 121 targets last season, posting an average depth of target (aDOT) of 10.8. To be fair, that aDOT number will surely fall with Brady at the helm. Brady's aDOT in 2019 had him tied for No. 23 in the league while Winston's 10.4 mark was the second-highest figure in the NFL.

Even if Brady isn't getting Godwin as many looks downfield, the looks he does get will be much more accurate than what he saw from Winston. In fact, just 69.9 percent of Winston's passes were deemed accurate – the lowest such total in the league.

Godwin, who dropped just 1 catchable pass in 2019, should easily improve upon his 86 receptions and 71.1 percent catch rate thanks to the switch at QB. Brady also famously does his best work on shorter, more intermediate routes and no one on the Buccaneers does that better than Godwin.

Godwin averaged 6.7 yards after the catch per reception in 2020, the third-best total among all WRs. Brady putting the ball on target should only put Godwin in position to improve on that mark next season, which could make up for the decline in deep targets.

He's probably not going to be WR2 again, but he's a no-doubt WR1 with top-five upside. We have him ranked as the WR8 in our 2020 fantasy football rankings.


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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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