The Duel

Todd Gurley Fantasy Outlook Drops Following Latest Injury Update

Max Staley
Todd Gurley's fantasy football outlook drops following the latest injury update.
Todd Gurley's fantasy football outlook drops following the latest injury update. / Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images

Todd Gurley was one of the most divisive players in fantasy football last year, and it appears as if he's in for a similar stretch in 2020. Though he managed to play a 15-game season, he never really looked like himself and his numbers fell across the board.

Gurley signed with the Atlanta Falcons this offseason, and he looks poised for a big workload again in 2020. But just like last year, his value appears entirely dependent on his health – and the latest injury update brought some bad news on that front.

Todd Gurley Injury Update

He's apparently walking with a noticeable limp, making him an extremely risky pick at his current average draft position (ADP) of RB15.

There are two key takeaways there. For one, it's fair to assume that these injury concerns will follow Gurley all throughout the season – it'd be a surprise if he made it through a full 16-game campaign. Plus, it's confirmation that you're probably not drafting 2017-18 Todd Gurley, athletically. The upside he carried pre-draft last year is, for the most part, gone.

With it now looking unrealistic to expect a return to form from Gurley, he's best viewed as a TD-dependent RB2. That should be a little worrying because touchdowns are a notoriously high-variance, unpredictable stat, and last year 38.2 percent of Gurley's fantasy production came off TDs.

The Falcons should be a high-powered offense, and Gurley is one of the league's most reliable touchdown scorers, but it's tough to project another 14-score campaign.

Pairing legitimate injury concerns with a likely touchdown regression makes Gurley a player to avoid in 2020 fantasy football drafts.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.