Todd Gurley Could Still Be Fantasy Viable Based on Goal-Line Carries

By Leo Abbe-Schneider
Super Bowl LIII - New England Patriots v Los Angeles Rams
Super Bowl LIII - New England Patriots v Los Angeles Rams / Al Bello

Cover Photo: Getty Images

Todd Gurley dominated the first 13 weeks of the 2018 fantasy football season, rushing for 1,175 yards and 15 touchdowns in just twelve games. However, an incredibly steep drop off (Gurley totaled just 76 total rush yards the rest of the season partially due to a mysterious knee injury), have led many to question him as a viable fantasy option for the 2019 season. When the Los Angeles Rams traded up to draft running back Darrell Henderson in the third round of April's draft, these concerns were only inflated.

However, there's still hope for Gurley owners, as the Rams decided not to bring back veteran running back C.J. Anderson, who played over Gurley for much of the Rams' playoff run last year. Additionally, the Rams still project as one of the top NFL offenses next year, and Gurley should still be in line for the majority of carries, especially when the team is on the goal line.

No running back in the league got close to the amount of work that Gurley did in the red zone last season. He ran the ball 64 times from inside his opponents' 20-yard line. The New Orleans Saints' Alvin Kamara was second in the league with only 51 such rushes.

Not only did Gurley get the opportunities to rack up major fantasy points last year, but he also took advantage of them. Of those 64 red zone rushing attempts, Gurley converted 17 into touchdowns. He also converted nine of his 18 rushes inside the opponents' five-yard line into touchdowns.

While there is still some speculation regarding both the health of Gurley's knee and his projected workload for 2019, only time will tell if he can be close to fully healthy.

It's still difficult to project how each of these variables plays out. However, considering that Gurley has been one of the best running backs in fantasy football the past two season, there's a chance that owners drafting Gurley are getting a bargain. Despite an average draft position (ADP) of 7th overall, he still has a solid chance of finishing the season as the number one running back in fantasy.

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Leo Abbe-Schneider is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Leo Abbe-Schneider also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username leoabbe2. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.