The Duel

Most Likely Players to Score a Touchdown in Super Bowl 54

Colton Dodgson
Raheem Mostert rushed for four touchdowns in the NFC Championship.
Raheem Mostert rushed for four touchdowns in the NFC Championship. / Michael Zagaris/Getty Images
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We're still a few days out from the 2020 Pro Bowl, meaning you've still got some time before you need to lock in your Super Bowl LIV bets.

If you're already looking for the right prop bet ahead of this clash between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs, though, look no further. Here are the four players most likely to score a touchdown in the 2020 Super Bowl.

All betting odds available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

1. Damien Williams, RB, Kansas City Chiefs (-130)

Damien Williams has seized full control of the Kansas City backfield.
Damien Williams has seized full control of the Kansas City backfield. / David Eulitt/Getty Images

Damien Williams has the highest price tag of any player listed, even after Raheem Mostert rushed for 4 touchdowns in the NFC Championship. Still, it makes sense, considering Williams has scored a combined 4 touchdowns in his last two games. The Chiefs offense is averaging 43 points per game through two postseason contests. Even against San Francisco's vaunted defense, Williams and Co. will have their opportunities to find the end zone.

2. Raheem Mostert, RB, San Francisco 49ers (-125)

Raheem Mostert ran the ball 29 times in the 49ers' NFC Championship win
Raheem Mostert ran the ball 29 times in the 49ers' NFC Championship win / Michael Zagaris/Getty Images

Mostert was the story of San Francisco's NFC Championship win. The former undrafted free agent toted the rock 29 times, returning 220 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns against the Packers. Additionally, Tevin Coleman dislocated his shoulder in that game, and Matt Breida's role continues to be limited, having played just two snaps last week. That leaves Mostert as the lead back, in an offense that is averaging 44.5 rushing attempts per game in the postseason. The Chiefs have had some struggles against the run this season as well, ranking 29th in Football Outsiders' run defense DVOA metric.

3. Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs (+105)

Travis Kelce was held to 30 yards on three catches in the AFC title game.
Travis Kelce was held to 30 yards on three catches in the AFC title game. / David Eulitt/Getty Images

After hauling in 3 of Patrick Mahomes' 5 touchdown passes in the divisional round, Travis Kelce was limited to 3 receptions for 30 yards last weekend. Last week's game was a rare blip for Kelce, driven by a season-low 4 targets. Considering he had seen at least 9 targets in six of his last seven games before that one, we can expect him to start getting some more looks. Kelce leads the Chiefs in postseason red zone targets (5) and dating back to the regular season has accounted for 29.6 percent of the Chiefs' total — more than double anyone else in the offense.

4. George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers (+120)

George Kittle caught one of his team's six passing attempts in the NFC Championship
George Kittle caught one of his team's six passing attempts in the NFC Championship / Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Whether it was due to game script or a changing philosophy, Kyle Shanahan has made it clear that the San Francisco 49ers are a run-first team. They tallied 42 rushing attempts, compared to just eight passing in the NFC Championship. That was after a Divisional Round showing in which that disparity was nearly as vast, at 47-to-19. This game could be a bit of a shootout though, with a close spread and high total on FanDuel Sportsbook, which could force the 49ers to pass more. Between the regular season and playoffs, Kittle leads the 49ers in both red zone targets (18) and receptions (12), despite having missed two contests due to injury.


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