Quarterback Busts to Avoid in 2020 Fantasy Football Drafts

Max Staley
Aaron Rodgers could be in for a down year.
Aaron Rodgers could be in for a down year. / Stacy Revere/Getty Images

The quarterback position is absolutely stacked in fantasy football this season. Outside of a clear-cut top-tier with Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes, fantasy managers will be able to choose from a plethora of viable starters.

If you miss out on grabbing one of those elite passers, it's best just to wait. You don't want to panic and reach for one of these three signal-callers when high-upside options like Matthew Stafford and Cam Newton aren't even being drafted as starters.

3. Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles (ADP: QB11)

Carson Wentz's fantasy football outlook could make him a player to avoid.
Carson Wentz's fantasy football outlook could make him a player to avoid. / Pool/Getty Images

Carson Wentz was really impressive last year, finishing as the QB10 despite playing with a completely depleted receiving corps. In fact, no Philadelphia Eagles wideout had more than 490 yards. Conventional wisdom suggested Wentz is a breakout candidate because things couldn't possibly be as bad as they were last year. However, it might actually be worse. First-round receiver Jalen Reagor is already set to miss a chunk of the year, and both Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson are as injury prone as it gets. Plus, Wentz's offensive line has already been decimated. Brandon Brooks was Pro Football Focus' highest-graded guard in 2019, and he's now out for the year. So is starting tackle Andre Dillard. Wentz's supporting cast will likely hold him back all year, and he just doesn't have that many players being drafted behind him do.

2. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (ADP: QB9)

Josh Allen is a bust candiate in 2020.
Josh Allen is a bust candiate in 2020. / Tim Warner/Getty Images

As a pure passer, Josh Allen leaves a lot to be desired. Allen was the only QB who started a full 16-game season to average fewer than 200.0 passing yards per game. The addition of Stefon Diggs could help his efficiency, but Diggs does his best work on downfield plays. Allen was the league's fifth-worst QB on throws that traveled at least 20 yards downfield, according to Pro Football Focus. Expecting him to make a massive leap as a passer is unlikely, at best. He's also likely to regress as a rusher. Allen's 9 rushing touchdowns in 2019 is tied for the ninth-best mark ever among quarterbacks. TDs are a notoriously high-variance stat, and it's unlikely he's able to do that again. Plus, the team has said it hopes to limit his carries in 2020, and that's backed up by the resources Buffalo spent on improving the passing game. Likely due for some regression as a rusher, it'll be hard for Allen to return top-10 value unless he improves significantly through the air. Given what we've seen from him thus far, that's a risky bet.

1. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers (ADP: QB12)

Aaron Rodgers' days as a fantasy starter might be over.
Aaron Rodgers' days as a fantasy starter might be over. / Dylan Buell/Getty Images

Aaron Rodgers is only being drafted as a starter in 12-man leagues because he's Aaron Rodgers. He was the QB14 on a per-game basis in 2019 and most signs are pointing to a decrease in production. Outside of Davante Adams, no Packers' pass-catcher reached even 500 receiving yards in 2019. The team inexplicably chose not to address the issue in the offseason. Instead, Green Bay added QB Jordan Love in the first round and running back A.J. Dillon in the second. All of this points to second-year head coach Matt LaFleur wanting to install a run-first offense like we've seen from his mentor Kyle Shanahan. That said, there's absolutely a world in which a hyper-motivated Rodgers sets the world on fire in 2020. But he was, at best, a low-end fantasy starter last year and the offseason has made his situation even worse.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.