The Duel

Nick Chubb Fantasy Value on the Rise With Increased Receiving Role

Jason Schandl
Kansas City Chiefs v Cleveland Browns
Kansas City Chiefs v Cleveland Browns / Jason Miller/Getty Images
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Even during his 2018 breakout, Nick Chubb didn't play a big role as a receiver out of the backfield for the Cleveland Browns.

On passing downs, the team often opted instead to roll with receiving threat Duke Johnson, whose 62 targets in 2018 brought his career total to 303 over four seasons. The fact that they were willing to trade such a high-volume receiving back is a good sign for how confident they are in Chubb's ability to take on a true every-down workload in 2019, and that is a great sign for his 2019 fantasy outlook.

Even after Chubb took over as the starter in Week 7, snaps were split almost evenly in the backfield, with Chubb playing 58 percent and Johnson playing 42 percent (essentially unchanged from his 43 percent from Weeks 1 through 6).

Chubb's 16.8 fantasy points per game as a starter would have ranked 11th among RBs over the full 2018 season, so we've already seen that he has the potential to be a top fantasy back.

Only 24.1 percent of his fantasy production came from receiving stats, which was also the seventh-lowest mark for any of the 40 backs that averaged at least 10 fantasy PPG.

Having already proven himself capable of elite numbers while working almost purely as a rusher, even a similar lack of receiving work wouldn't necessarily be a huge red-flag for Chubb.

Adding in significant volume in the passing game (and likely a higher snap share) creates some massive upside that wasn't present in his 2018 breakout. A more versatile role in what promises to be a high-powered Cleveland offense could position Chubb to easily pay off his cost as a first-round fantasy football pick in 2019.


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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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