Most Overrated NFL Team by Division Heading Into 2019 Season

Mike Esposito
Cleveland Browns v Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns v Baltimore Ravens / Patrick Smith
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Cover Photo: Getty Images

There were plenty of eye-popping moves that, for better or worse, drastically shifted the NFL landscape this offseason. Yet, despite how good some teams may look on paper right now because of their personnel changes, most have yet to prove that they're worth the preseason hype they've received thus far.

With that in mind, here is each division's most overrated team heading into the 2019 NFL season.

1. AFC East: New York Jets

Getty Images
Getty Images / Jim Rogash

2019 Projected Win Total: 7

Odds to Make 2019 NFL Playoffs: +320

The Jets had the splashiest offseason of any team other than the Cleveland Browns, bringing in a lot of top-notch free agents like Le'Veon Bell and C.J. Mosley. Despite the significant roster overhaul, New York still has plenty to prove before they can be considered contenders. Quarterback Sam Darnold still needs to prove he can take the next step forward and let's not forget the mighty Patriots are still standing firmly in Gang Green's way.

2. AFC North: Cleveland Browns

Getty Images
Getty Images / Patrick Smith

2019 Projected Win Total: 9.5

Odds to Make 2019 NFL Playoffs: -122

It's hard to fault people for jumping on the Browns hype train right now considering how crazy of an offseason the franchise had. However, winning on the field is what matters in the NFL and the Browns haven't done anything to show they're worth the hype outside of looking good on paper. Until they prove otherwise, they may just be the most overrated team in the league.

3. AFC South: Houston Texans

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Getty Images / Tim Warner

2019 Projected Win Total: 8.5

Odds to Make 2019 NFL Playoffs: N/A

The Texans still have the same roster from last year, for most part, but that's exactly what makes them overrated. Deshaun Watson will be protected by the same offensive line that allowed 62 sacks last year and the secondary is pretty questionable over the middle now that Tyrann Mathieu is in Kansas City. The rest of the division got a lot better this offseason, which could mean Houston may finally be in for a down year.

4. AFC West: Kansas City Chiefs

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Getty Images / Jamie Squire

2019 Projected Win Total: 10.5

Odds to Make 2019 NFL Playoffs: -270

It's strange to put the Chiefs on this list, but the third-year signal-caller can only do so much. Unlike last year, Patrick Mahomes won't have Kareem Hunt - and possibly Tyreek Hill - to lean on this year. And while the defense is undoubtedly better than it was last year, there are still some glaring holes that could make the Chiefs take a step back in 2019.

5. NFC East: Dallas Cowboys

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Getty Images / Sean M. Haffey

2019 Projected Win Total: 9

Odds to Make 2019 NFL Playoffs: +110

The Cowboys went on an incredible run to close out the 2018 season with an NFC East title, but their likelihood of making the postseason in 2019 hinges largely on Ezekiel Elliott. Dallas' offense lived and died by Elliott's play last year (2,001 total yards, nine TDs) and if he goes down to injury or gets completely erased on the field, it remains to be seen if the Boys can win on Dak Prescott's arm alone.

6. NFC North: Green Bay Packers

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Getty Images / Steven Ryan

2019 Projected Win Total: 9

Odds to Make 2019 NFL Playoffs: -104

You can never count the Packers out of a game as long as Aaron Rodgers is under center, but there's too much uncertainty surrounding this team to consider them a playoff contender. Healthy issues have plagued Rodgers in recent seasons and outside of Davante Adams, he doesn't have a strong supporting cast to work with. There's also bound to be some growing pains under new head coach Matt LeFleur.

7. NFC South: Atlanta Falcons

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Getty Images / Julio Aguilar

2019 Projected Win Total: 8.5

Odds to Make 2019 NFL Playoffs: +138

The Falcons have all the offensive firepower to succeed in 2019 despite losing talent like Tevin Coleman this offseason. Yet, it may not be enough to make up for Atlanta's shaky defense. The Birds' stop unit remains largely the same from last year's defense that allowed 423 points, nine more than their offense was able to score. Unless the Falcons can buckle down on defense, it's going to be another long season in Atlanta.

8. NFC West: Seattle Seahawks

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Getty Images / Otto Greule Jr

2019 Projected Win Total: 8.5

Odds to Make 2019 NFL Playoffs: +130

The Seahawks will have Russell Wilson under center for the long haul, but the team still has plenty of questions that need to be answered heading into the 2019 season. Seattle lost Doug Baldwin to retirement, leaving the offense without an experienced playmaker for Wilson to lean on in a pinch. And while Seattle did sign defensive end Ezekiel Ansah this offseason, the potency of the team's pass rush is speculative at best right now.


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Mike Esposito is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Esposito also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username espo6891. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

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