The Duel

Mike Gesicki Fantasy Outlook Improves Significantly With Tua Tagovailoa Starting

Max Staley
Mike Gesicki fantasy outlook improves with the switch to Tua Tagovailoa.
Mike Gesicki fantasy outlook improves with the switch to Tua Tagovailoa. / Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

Maybe we're just being stubborn, but replacing Ryan Fitzpatrick with Tua Tagovailoa has a chance to be huge for Mike Gesicki's fantasy value. The Penn State product has all the makings of a legitimate star, and he was one of our top breakout picks for the 2020 fantasy season. Unfortunately, he just wasn't seeing the ball enough to be worth an every-week start.

This move certainly can't hurt Gesicki's fantasy value, and with a potential uptick in usage, it could really help it.

Mike Gesicki Fantasy Outlook

After seeing 16 targets over the first two weeks of the season, Gesicki appeared to be well on his way to that breakout campaign. He turned those looks into 11 catches for 160 yards and one TD.

However, he inexplicably got phased out of the offense over the four subsequent games. Gesicki has now seen 3 or fewer targets in three of his last four outings, averaging 3.5 targets for 1.8 catches and 30.3 receiving yards per game. For whatever reason, Fitzpatrick and the Dolphins just weren't looking his way.

There's no way to know if that will change under Tua, but any uptick in targets would give Gesicki legitimate TE1 upside.

Gesicki has only seen 6 or more targets twice this season. In those two games, the burgeoning star has totaled 13 catches for 234 yards and 1 touchdown. In his three games with 5 targets or fewer, he has totaled just 60 yards on 5 catches.

Miami's decision to stop targeting this guy just doesn't make any sense. There are only four qualified tight ends who have gotten a higher receiving grade from Pro Football Focus than Gesicki has this season. And yet, his 5.0 targets per game ranks just 17th among TEs, with 17 of those 30 looks coming in just two games.

At the end of the day, Tua funneling more looks Gesicki's way is complete speculation on our part. But it can't really get any worse than it was under Fitzpatrick, and there's no reason he shouldn't be the No. 2 target in this offense.

The potential for an uptick in targets makes Gesicki a fantastic buy-low candidate, though he's certainly a risky one.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.