Horse Racing

Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Sunday 10/23/22

Horse Racing Picks from Keeneland on Sunday, Oct. 23. Bet at TVG and FanDuel Racing.
Horse Racing Picks from Keeneland on Sunday, Oct. 23. Bet at TVG and FanDuel Racing. / Charlie Neibergall / Associated Press

Starting at 1:00 p.m. ET, we have 9 races Sunday at Keeneland.

As always, check the program for scratches and changes, and monitor the weather and track conditions.

(I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure in selected races, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions).

Keeneland Betting

According to numberFire horse racing projections, these are the best bets to make at FanDuel Racing today.

1. Speakinofthedevil and Zed, Race 6

FanDuel Racing Odds: 9/2 and 3/1
Bet Now at TVG | Bet Now at FanDuel

Race 6 is a Maiden Special Weight for 2-year-olds sprinting 5 1/2 furlongs. Zed (3/1) is the tepid favorite and projected board hitter along with More Than Five (6/1). But the numberFire top pick is Speakinofthedevil (9/2).

Zed is a son of the great Arrogate and finished third last race but unable to hold the lead in the stretch. A rider change to the meets leading jockey, Tyler Gaffalione.

Cravensworth (4/1) and Speakinofthedevil both make their debut. Speakinofthedevil has a superior work tab and more speed, and Ricardo Santana, Jr. is a go to jockey for HOF trainer Steve Asmussen.

Time the Market (15/1) is ridden by Luis Saez, who has a meet-best 7 wins riding 2-year-old. Bolt Forty Five (6/1) has value on the far outside 12 post, as she carried the lead into the stretch in her debut last month before finishing second.

2. Beside Herself and Temple City Terror, Race 7

FanDuel Racing Odds: 9/2 and 3/1
Bet Now at TVG | Bet Now at FanDuel

Race 7 is the $300,000 Rood and Riddle Dowager Stakes (G3) for fillies and mares going 1 1/2 miles. The leading contenders as favorites and top picks by numberFire's algorithm is Temple City Terror (3/1) and Luck Money (4/1).

Temple City Terror won a minor stakes in May, but ran her fastest race at this distance in a Grade 2 stakes in August to finish second behind the heavy favorite.

Beside Herself (9/2) has won 3-of-7 starts this year, but ran her fastest race last month in a Grade 3 stakes when finishing third after running on the leaf for 1-mile. Top jock Flavien Prat rides for the meets leading trainer Todd Pletcher.

Luck Money is winless in 11 starts since 2020, but finished third last month at longer odds behind the two favorites.

3. Big City Momma and Park On the Nile, Race 8

FanDuel Racing Odds: 6/1 and 7/2
Bet Now at TVG | Bet Now at FanDuel

Race 8 is an Allowance race for 10 fillies and mares at 1 1/8 miles. The numberFire order of finish is projected as Ice Orchid (5/1), Park On the Nile (7/2) and Silver Leaf (4/1) with the latter two trained by Kenny McPeak.

Big City Momma (6/1) is an off the pace runner who won her only race over this track a year ago. She has a pair of third place finishes the past two months with a career-best 94 speed figure, and can improve against this group for a higher finish at a better price.

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