The Duel

John Brown Injury Update Boosts Week 6 Fantasy Outlook

Max Staley
John Brown injury update boosts his Week 6 fantasy outlook against the Kansas City Chiefs.
John Brown injury update boosts his Week 6 fantasy outlook against the Kansas City Chiefs. / Bryan M. Bennett/Getty Images
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The Buffalo Bills are getting their No. 2 wide receiver back tonight for Monday Night Football. After missing Week 5 due to a calf injury, Brown will get back on the field for a showdown with the Kansas City Chiefs.

Facing a quietly tough Chiefs' secondary, Brown will be little more than a boom-or-bust WR3.

John Brown Fantasy Outlook

Brown was really solid as the Bills' No. 1 WR last year, turning 115 targets into 72 catches for 1,060 yards and 6 scores. However, he doesn't really profile as a legitimate No. 1 option, and the addition of Stefon Diggs has helped him transition into being one of the league's most overqualified WR2's. That helped his real-life football value, but it hasn't been great for fantasy.

After seeing 10 targets in Week 1, Brown failed to see more than 6 targets in any of his three subsequent outings, averaging 4.3 targets per game in that time (though he did miss some of Week 3 due to injury). That's a significant drop from the 7.7 per game that Brown saw in 2019.

With his team-high 14.0 average depth of target (aDOT), Brown does have a pretty high ceiling every week, but the drop in volume really hurts his floor. Essentially, Brown's value boils down to whether or not he and Josh Allen will connect on a deep ball in any given game.

Facing a Chiefs' defense that currently ranked as the league's second-best unit against the pass, per Football Outsiders' DVOA metrics, Week 6 isn't a great spot for Brown. He's a high-risk, high-reward option tonight, especially since he's coming off that calf injury.


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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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