Jets vs Canadiens NHL Game 2 Info
NHL Playoffs Game 2 (MTL leads series 1-0)
Winnipeg Jets (30-23-3) vs. Montreal Canadiens (24-21-11)
Date: Friday, June 4, 2021
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Bell MTS Place
Jets vs Canadiens Odds, Moneyline & Total
All Jets-Canadiens NHL betting odds are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: Jets -118 | Canadiens +100
Spread: Jets -1.5 (+235) | Canadiens +1.5 (-295)
Total: 5.5 — Over: +114 | Under: -140
Odds to Win Stanley Cup: Jets +2400 | Canadiens +1600
Jets vs Canadiens Predictions & Picks
- Canadiens +100
Winnipeg Jets vs Montreal Canadiens News, Analysis, and Picks
The Winnipeg Jets lost more than just their first game of the postseason last time out. They also lost their top scorer Mark Scheifele, who was suspended for four games for his controversial hit on Jake Evans. Although it was their first loss, it was the fifth time in five games that the Jets have been outplayed. Now they will have to overcome terrible metrics without their best skater.
It was only a matter of time before the Jets' metrics caught up with them. Winnipeg has been outplayed at five-on-five by a substantive margin in all five postseason games. The 40.9% cumulative expected goals-for percentage puts the Jets only marginally ahead of the last place St. Louis Blues, who were swept out of the postseason in four straight games. That percentage gets a slight bump across all strengths, with the Jets moving up to 14th in the expected goals-for rankings with a percentage of 42.4%.
The biggest factor working against the Jets is that they continue to hemorrhage chances against them. Winnipeg has allowed at least 30 shots and 13 or more high-danger chances in every game this postseason, along with 30 or more scoring chances in four of five. The Jets' saving grace has been Connor Hellebuyck, but as we saw in Game 1, he's coming back down to earth after an extended above-average run.
Hellebuyck had stopped 95.0% of shots in the opening round before getting torched for four goals on 32 shots in Game 1. That is a continuation of some curious splits as Hellebuyck continues to be less effective at home than on the road.
At Bell MTS Place, Hellebuyck stopped 90.7% of shots with a goals-against-average of 2.71. Those standard metrics improve to 92.5% and 2.44, respectively, when Hellebuyck starts on the road. Similarly, in the playoffs, Hellebuyck has a 2.60 goals-against-average at home while stopping 90.9% of shots, compared to 93.3% and 2.24 as the guest.
That creates an advantage for the Montreal Canadiens, who continue to get consistent efforts from Carey Price night in, and night out. Price has a 92.9% save percentage at home, compare to 92.7% on the road. But his job has been made easier by some tidy defensive efforts from his team. The Habs have limited the Jets and Toronto Maple Leafs to a combined 44 scoring chances, 11 high-danger opportunities, and 61 shots over their last two games.
Not surprisingly, the Habs are 3-1 this postseason when they limit their opponent to 10 or fewer high-danger chances in a game.
Montreal is kicking things into high gear while the Jets continue to get outplayed, allowing opponents to put together however many scoring opportunities they want. The Habs have an advantage in net, as Hellebuyck doesn't put up the same efforts at home as he does on the road. Montreal was the superior team in Game 1, but they are still priced as underdogs, even with the Jets being without Scheifele.
Habs' moneyline is the play.
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