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History Points to Tom Brady and Buccaneers Struggling Against Saints’ Top-10 Defense

By David Hayes
Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have struggled against top defensive competition this season.
Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have struggled against top defensive competition this season. / Patrick Smith/Getty Images
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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are sitting just two games away from a Super Bowl berth, thanks in part to some stellar quarterback play from Tom Brady.

While Brady has already led his new team to an impressive 11-5 regular-season finish and a playoff win over the Washington Football Team, the road only continues to get harder from here on out.

The next obstacle is a road trip to New Orleans for a matchup with Drew Brees and the Saints in the Superdome – a team that has already swept Brady and the Bucs on the year. And unfortunately for Brady and Tampa Bay, their performance against similar opponents this season doesn't lead to much optimism about Sunday night's impending result either.

That's right, in the five games when facing top-10 defenses per FootballOutsiders' DVOA metric, the Buccaneers have struggled immensely, dropping four of those games to the loss column and failing to cover the spread in all five of them.

Perhaps, most important is recognizing that two of those five opponents are the Saints themselves, who currently rank as the No. 2 overall defense in that same DVOA metric.

Considering the Bucs are already 3-point road underdogs, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, they're going to need all the help they can get with the likes of this key stat, especially from Tom Brady at quarterback.


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David Hayes is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, David Hayes also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username DavidWHayes. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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