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Here's How the 49ers Can Upset the Packers in NFC Divisional Round

Adam Taylor McKillop
Here's how the San Francisco 49ers can upset the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Divisional Round clash
Here's how the San Francisco 49ers can upset the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Divisional Round clash / Tom Pennington/GettyImages

The NFL Playoffs roll on into the Divisional Round and one matchup that has football fans particularly excited is the No. 6 San Francisco 49ers vs No. 1 Green Bay Packers.

With a spot in the NFC Championship on the line, this game is full of intrigue. Not to mention the revenge factor after San Francisco's 2019 NFC Championship win, the Aaron Rodgers draft slight back in 2005, and the mentor/mentee relationship between the head coaches.

Sports bettors are particularly interested in this matchup and the early narrative already spells an upset brewing thanks to the 49ers' fierce rushing attack. Let's dive into some of the individual/team matchups to see why San Francisco just may walk out of Lambeau with a shocking victory.

49ers vs Packers Odds

This matchup should come down to a simple battle: San Francisco's rushing attack against the Packers' front seven. San Fran's rushing unit ranked seventh in the NFL this season with 127.4 rushing yards per contest. Their 22 rushing touchdowns is a top-five mark and the 49ers rush at the fourth-highest clip in the league (49.3%).

On the other side of the ball is a Green Bay defensive unit that ranked just 28th in Football Outsiders' rush-defense DVOA metric after surrendering the third-highest rushing yards per attempt (4.7). Bettors may note that Green Bay has allowed only 1,855 total rushing yards (11th) this season. But, that can be attributed to teams playing often from behind. The Packers faced the fourth-fewest rushing attempts this season (395).

The 49ers are one of the hottest teams in the NFL right now, and that can all be pointed back to Kyle Shanahan's impressive game plan to move wide receiver Deebo Samuel to a dynamic receiver/rusher weapon. Samuel recorded at least 5 rushing attempts (6.2 yards per attempt) in each game since Week 10, while the 49ers rattled off a 7-2 record in that span.

As of Wednesday morning, San Francisco holds just +210 odds on the moneyline (compared to Green Bay's -255 odds) and -110 odds to cover as 6-point underdogs, according to betting odds on FanDuel Sportsbook. Those are both pretty juicy numbers with all of the above matchups in mind, and sports bettors can have some fun on Saturday afternoon with this one.

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Adam Taylor McKillop is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Adam Taylor also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username atmckillop. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.