Overall production and fantasy points are obviously the big thing we're trying to find in fantasy football. But production can be highly volatile on a week-to-week basis. Taking a deeper look into a player's volume can give us a better idea of how likely they are to repeat a big game, or to bounce back from a poor one.
While there are already quite a few takeaways, we should note that the Chicago Bears and Washington Redskins have yet to play their Week 3 matchup. With that in mind, here are four of the most important target trends to know coming out of Week 3.
1. Mike Evans' Breakout Game
Mike Evans had a disappointing first two games of the season, tallying only 13 targets compared to teammate Chris Godwin's 15. In Week 3, Evans left no doubt as to who the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' top wide receiver is though, racking up a massive 15 targets compared to Godwin's four. Despite Evans' slow start to the season, he now leads the Bucs by a big margin with 28 targets, and his 29 percent market share of the team's total ranks seventh among all players.
2. Keenan Allen Doesn't Slow Down
Already sitting tied for first in target share after Week 2, Keenan Allen went out and led the NFL with an absurd 17 targets in Week 3. He's seen double-digit targets in all three of his games in 2019, averaging 14 per. His 36 percent target share is five percentage points higher than any other player, and it's no surprise that he leads the NFL in both receptions (29) and receiving yards (404).
3. Tyler Lockett Proves Week 2 Was No Fluke
Heading into the 2019 season, Tyler Lockett had never seen more than 71 targets in a single year. Positioned to be the Seattle Seahawks' No. 1 WR following Doug Baldwin's retirement, it remained to be seen whether he'd be able to earn and maintain a true WR1 workload, and his two targets in Week 1 were a serious concern. He then caught 10 of his 12 targets in Week 2 though, and on Sunday he one-upped himself with 11 receptions on 14 targets. It looks like Lockett's big volume is here to stay, and that should mean big things in Week 4 against the Arizona Cardinals, who have allowed their opponents to complete 70 passes through three games.
4. Darren Waller is Still the Raiders' Top Receiver
Darren Waller's volume is almost hard to believe. He is tied for third among all players with a 30 percent target share in 2019, and no other tight end has a mark above even 25 percent. Waller's 29 targets on the year put him one shy of the league-lead among TEs, while no other Oakland Raiders player has more than 17. This massive workload should keep Waller in the conversation as one of the top tight ends in fantasy football moving forward.
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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.