The Duel

Easiest and Toughest 2019 NFL Strength of Schedules Compared to Projected Win Totals

Mike Esposito
New England Patriots v Denver Bronco
New England Patriots v Denver Bronco / Matthew Stockman/Getty Images
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The New England Patriots currently boast -1150 odds to make it back to the postseason this year, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, and while the Patriots are loaded with more than enough talent to repeat, they could be getting a significant boost from a weaker schedule.

According to FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL over/under win totals, the Patriots have the easiest schedule in the league in 2019, as their average opponent has an expected win total of 7.41. The Denver Broncos, on the other hand, are the unlucky owners of the toughest schedule in the NFL, as their average opponent has an expected 8.53-win total.

New England will face nine teams that are expected to finish below .500 this season, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, which puts them somewhat in line with the actual strength of schedule (SOS) metric released by the league. However, there are some discrepancies for other teams.

The Seattle Seahawks and Dallas Cowboys, in particular, have a massive discrepancy between their projected win total and record-based SOS. The Seahawks have the 12th-hardest over/under SOS, yet the fourth-easiest record-based SOS. Meanwhile, Dallas has seventh-easiest over/under SOS and the 14th-hardest record-based SOS.

Training camp is about to begin, meaning there's still plenty of time for each team's win totals can change before the season begins.


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Mike Esposito is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Esposito also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username espo6891. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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