The Duel

Dolphins' Win Total Points to Slow Start in Tua Tagovailoa Era

Max Staley
Tua Tagovailoa fell to the Dolphins at No. 5, though it's unclear how much he'll play.
Tua Tagovailoa fell to the Dolphins at No. 5, though it's unclear how much he'll play. / Michael Hickey/Getty Images
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The Miami Dolphins were widely considered to be the worst team in football heading into last season. That is, until the franchise went on a tear down the stretch, going 3-2 over the final five games of the year to post a respectable 5-11 finish.

Miami wasted no time improving the roster this offseason, signing big-name free agents like Byron Jones and Kyle Van Noy and drafting a new franchise quarterback in Tua Tagovailoa. Despite those improvements, though, FanDuel Sportsbook has set Miami's projected win total at over/under 6.0.

Dolphins Win Total 2020

That has Miami tied for the third-lowest projected win total in the NFL. It would also only be a one-win improvement from last season, which certainly doesn't line up with the Dolphins' recent influx of talent.

Another point in Miami's favor is the potential decline from the New England Patriots, who have lost stars like Tom Brady, Van Noy and Jamie Collins. For the first time in about two decades, this division legitimately appears to be wide open.

The Dolphins are only available at +900 to win the AFC East, the worst odds in the division, but their fate could ultimately be decided by Tua's health. It's unclear whether or not he'll be ready to start the season after that gruesome hip injury, or if Miami would even let him play right away, but if he's under center he'd obviously raise Miami's ceiling more than Ryan Fitzpatrick.

While the latest odds don't exactly point to a breakthrough season for Brian Flores and the Dolphins, Miami is clearly trending in the right direction thanks to an exciting young core.


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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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