Derrius Guice Fantasy Outlook Following Preseason Week 3 Performance

Washington Redskins v Atlanta Falcons
Washington Redskins v Atlanta Falcons /

We have been waiting to see Derrius Guice back in a Washington Redskins jersey for a while, and the second-year running back did not disappoint in his return on Thursday. He finished the night with 44 rushing yards on 11 carries, adding four yards on one reception.

While there is no doubt that Guice looked terrific in his return to action, that doesn't mean he's a player to trust for the 2019 fantasy football season. Casting any possible injury concerns aside, he will still be playing in a crowded backfield in what is projected to be a terrible offense.

Guice will likely be the lead back for the Redskins, but behind him sits Adrian Peterson. The last time a team didn't use Peterson heavily (the New Orleans Saints), he said he wanted "a change of scenery" and was traded to the Arizona Cardinals. It's not likely that he re-signed in Washington without an expectation of some significant volume.

So there's already a threat to Guice's early-down work, and change-of-pace RB Chris Thompson will likely replace Guice on third downs. Thompson averaged 5.5 targets per game before an injury ended his 2018 season, but like Guice his status for 2019 looks promising. Thompson also looked terrific in the third preseason game, running for 20 yards on three attempts, while adding two receptions on three targets.

With a three-headed backfield of talented running backs, including two coming off serious injuries, we may see more of a committee approach than fantasy players would like.

Currently, Guice has an average draft position (ADP) of RB34 (82nd overall). This is still a good value, but with the added hype after his return to the field, we can expect his ADP to rise. Anything above RB25 would be too high for someone with so many question marks around their workload.

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