Colts Being Disrespected by Super Bowl Odds

Max Staley
Philip Rivers and the Colts should be viewed as legit Super Bowl contenders.
Philip Rivers and the Colts should be viewed as legit Super Bowl contenders. / Wesley Hitt/Getty Images
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The Indianapolis Colts are coming off arguably their most impressive win of the season. They thumped the division-rival Tennessee Titans in Week 9, 34-17, and now look like a lock for a playoff spot in the competitive AFC.

And yet, the oddsmakers just refuse to give this team the credit it deserves. The Colts currently boasts the ninth-best odds to win the Super Bowl, per FanDuel Sportsbook, which is flat-out disrespectful.

Realistically, Indianapolis' case as a legitimate Super Bowl contender starts and ends with its defense. But it's a pretty good case.

The Colts are currently ranked No. 3 in Football Outsiders' defensive DVOA metrics, sitting No. 5 against the pass and No. 2 against the run. Frank Reich's team is also surrendering the fourth-fewest points per game (19.7). Notably, that's all with Indianapolis' best defender, Darius Leonard, missing two games this season.

And while everyone has been counting the Colts' offense out, they're starting to round into form on that side of the ball as well.

Over his first five games, Philip Rivers was averaging 245.4 passing yards per outing with 4 touchdowns to 5 interceptions. In the four games since then, however, the eight-time Pro Bowler has averaged 292.0 yards per contest with 7 TDs to 2 INTs.

As a result, the Colts' offense is averaging 29.0 PPG during that span, scoring 30-plus points in three of those four, compared to 25.2 PPG with only one 30-point showing over their first five.

And yet, Indianapolis (+2000) still only sits ninth in the odds to win the Super Bowl, putting them well behind teams like the Los Angeles Rams (+1600) and Seattle Seahawks (+1800).

With an elite defense and a quietly-dangerous offense, Indianapolis deserves to be ranked a lot higher in the Super Bowl odds.


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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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