NBA Odds & Predictions

Celtics vs Heat Prediction, Odds & Betting Insights for NBA Game on FanDuel Sportsbook (Oct. 21)

Devon Platana
Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photo/Charles Krupa

Celtics vs Heat Game Info

2022-23 NBA Regular Season Game
Boston Celtics (1-0, 0-0 Away) vs. Miami Heat (0-1, 0-1 Home)
Date: Friday, Oct. 21, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: FTX Arena — Miami, FL
Coverage: ESPN

The 2022-23 NBA season-opening week continues on Friday, featuring a huge showdown between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat. The Celtics opened up the campaign with a solid 126-117 victory over the Philadelphia 76ers, led by Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum each scoring 35 points apiece.

Meanwhile, the Heat's season began with a 116-108 loss to the short-handed Chicago Bulls. Despite Miami having had the lead at halftime, the team was outscored 57-49 in the second half, highlighting the need for a full 60-minute effort on Friday.

Celtics vs Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: BOS: (-138) | MIA: (+118)
Spread: BOS: -2.5 (-110) | MIA: +2.5 (-110)
Total: 218.5 —Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Celtics enter this contest as clear road favorites on the moneyline and spread on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:30 p.m. ET clash also features a total of 218.5, which is low compared to Friday's other projected totals.

Celtics vs Heat Prediction & Pick

The last time these two teams met was in last year's Eastern Conference Finals. The Celtics wound up winning that series in seven games before losing in the NBA Finals. Now, Boston looks to build on that success after also winning five of its last six trips to Miami.

One reason why the Heat came up short against the Bulls was that the former committed 19 turnovers. That sort of carelessness won't work against the Celtics, who were one of the better defensive teams in the league last season, averaging 13.7 takeaways (No. 14) and an NBA-best 103.9 points against per game.

With how sloppy the Heat looked in their season opener, it's hard to trust them here. The Celtics look like the more well-oiled machine and last postseason's series victory should give them an extra edge.

Final Score Prediction: Celtics: 108 | Heat: 104

Celtics vs Heat Betting Trends

- Boston is 13-3 against the spread (ATS) in its last 16 road games.
- Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last six home games against Boston.
- The total has hit the under in four of Boston's last six games.
- The total has hit the under in four of Miami's last six games played in October.

Celtics vs Heat Best Bet

With the projected total sitting at 218.5 points, I'm leaning toward the under. After all, the Celtics and Heat have seen an average total of just 195.8 points in their last five meetings, falling below tonight's projected total in each of those matchups.

Two of the NBA's best defenses will be on display here, so back the under once again.

Bet: Under 218.5 Points (-110)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.