In fantasy football, defensive scoring is one of the toughest things to predict on a year-to-year basis. There are so many factors that go into a successful defensive season that replicating it can often prove difficult.
In fact, the statistics show that if you draft the No. 1 ranked fantasy defense, you'll often end up regretting that decision by the end of the season.
Since 2009, the No. 1 fantasy defense off the board has an average finish of the No. 8 defense, according to Pro Football Focus. This could spell trouble for a Chicago Bears' defense that is being taken 15 picks ahead of the No. 2 fantasy unit, the Los Angeles Rams.
Additionally, the defense that ended up finishing No. 1 has actually been drafted outside of the top five D/STs all but once over the past 10 seasons (2013 Seattle Seahawks).
Fantasy owners are far better off using their mid-round picks to take flyers on talented skill-position players instead of reaching for defense. Having too much depth is never a bad thing, and if one of your mid-round gambles hits, you'll likely have a significant advantage over your league mates.
Rather than overpaying for last year's production, fantasy owners should wait on defense and try to find value at the position.
Join FanDuel Sportsbook Today. New users get a risk-free bet up to $500. Join Now.
Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.