Baker Mayfield's Production Could Explode Over the Remainder of the Season

Jason Schandl
Baker Mayfield throws a pass against the Steelers in Week 13.
Baker Mayfield throws a pass against the Steelers in Week 13. / Justin Berl/Getty Images
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Baker Mayfield has struggled to live up to the hype he earned with a stellar rookie campaign. He's seen his average yards per game fall from 266.1 to 243.1, and his TD/INT ratio is down from 1.93 to 1.07.

He's hit one of the easiest parts of his schedule though, and that could bring some huge late-season production for the sophomore signal caller.

Mayfield had thrown no more than two touchdowns in a game until Week 12. That game saw him take on an abysmal Miami Dolphins' secondary, and he went off for 327 yards with three TDs and one interception, scoring a season-best 23.6 fantasy points. His next two matchups are similarly favorable.

In Week 14 he gets the Cincinnati Bengals, who check in at 31st in Football Outsiders' pass defense DVOA rankings, ahead of only the Dolphins. After that, in Week 15 is the 29th-ranked Arizona Cardinals.

With their struggles against the pass, the Bengals have allowed the NFL's sixth-most fantasy points per game to opposing QBs, while the high-paced Cardinals have allowed the most. Arizona has given up 2.8 more points per game to the position than anyone else, which is a bigger than gap between the second- and ninth-most.

Things get tough again with a matchup against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 16, but then Baker gets one more crack at the Bengals to close out the season in Week 17.

Fantasy football owners who drafted Mayfield have reason to be seriously disappointed with him, and most have probably dropped him at some point. With some great matchups down the stretch, Mayfield should once again be on your radar in the fantasy football playoffs. A few strong games over the next month could go a long way to salvaging his season-long numbers.

He checks in at QB11 in our Week 14 fantasy football rankings.


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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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