It's official, Antonio Brown has signed a one-year deal with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The move reunites him with Tom Brady, who Brown played one game with last year before being released by the New England Patriots due to a variety of off-field issues.
A move of this magnitude obviously has some significant implications on the fantasy football landscape. It puts Brown firmly back on the WR3 radar and gives Brady's fantasy outlook a massive boost, but the rest of Tampa Bay's pass-catchers could be looking at a sizable dip in value.
Antonio Brown Fantasy Outlook With Buccaneers
Brown is currently rostered in 68% of Yahoo! fantasy leagues, but he's a must-add if he's still available on the waiver wire. While he won't be eligible to suit up for Tampa Bay's next two games, it sounds like he'll make his Bucs' debut in Week 9 against the New Orleans Saints.
Assuming all goes as planned, Brown should be viewed as a boom-or-bust WR3 with the potential to do a lot more as the season progresses. He played just one game in New England last year and Brady clearly made it a priority to get him the ball. Brown was targeted a whopping 8 times, turning that into 4 receptions for 56 receiving yards and a touchdown despite playing just 34% of the snaps.
Still, that game was well over a year ago. Brown is certainly not a guarantee to be a reliable fantasy asset.
Brady is now primarily spreading targets around between Brown, Rob Gronkowski, Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. Ronald Jones' emergence also means this team could be running the ball a lot more than expected. With an uncertain workload and his off-field issues, Brown's floor is as low as it gets.
But the upside is undeniable. If Brown has his head on straight, it's not a stretch to think he could start putting up WR1 numbers at some point this season.
It feels like every outcome is on the table here, making it tough to view Brown as anything more than a boom-or-bust WR3 – for now.
Tom Brady Fantasy Outlook
While Brown's fantasy outlook may be difficult to project, Tom Brady's is not. This move is a clear win for Brady's fantasy managers. If he didn't already have the best skill-position group in the league, he sure does now.
Brady is currently fantasy's QB12, but he's just starting to heat up. Over his last four games, Brady is averaging 271.3 passing yards per game with 11 TDs to 1 interception. That would put him on a 16-game pace to throw for 4,340 yards with 44 TDs and 4 picks. It's worth noting that he was doing that despite Godwin missing time, and Evans looking hobbled by an ankle injury.
Add Brown into the mix and this offense could get scary in a hurry.
Throwing to the arguably most talented skill-position group in football behind a top-five pass-blocking offensive line, per Football Outsiders, Brady's ceiling is massive. He's got top-five upside the rest of the way if everything goes according to plan.
Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.