The Duel

Anthony Miller Fantasy Football Value Takes Dip Following Injury Reports

Jason Schandl
Wild Card Round - Philadelphia Eagles v Chicago Bears
Wild Card Round - Philadelphia Eagles v Chicago Bears /
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Anthony Miller didn't see a ton of volume as a rookie for the Chicago Bears, but he did make an impact by turning his 33 receptions into 423 yards and seven touchdowns.

Even with that touchdown total, he only ranked 60th in fantasy scoring among wide receivers, and so far 2019 fantasy football drafters seem to be projecting some improvement, leaving him with an average draft position (ADP) of WR53.

That cost may have already been a little too high and, with reports that he might not open the season with a full-time role in the offense, there's even more room for pessimism.

Touchdowns are one of the most volatile stats year to year, and scoring on an absurd 21.2 percent of his receptions was never going to be sustainable for Miller. To even hold up the same fantasy value he posted last year, Miller was going to need to see an increased role. That need is especially important if you were projecting him to post the kind of improved fantasy numbers that would justify his ADP.

A bigger role was already far from a certainty before this news, as his snaps had already started to trend down toward the end of the 2018 season. On the year, he played 57 percent of the Bears' snaps, but in his final three full games (weeks 14 through 16), he played only 47 percent. Even just among rookie WRs, his 2018 season didn't stand out.

There are very few positive signs for Miller's fantasy value for the 2019 season. Even as a late-round flier, the upside of the third wide receiver in a middling Bears offense isn't exactly going to have a big payout if he does hit. You're probably best served to avoid Miller and look for a different potential sleeper at wide receiver instead.


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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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