A.J. Green Fantasy Value Takes a Hit With Latest Injury Update

Jason Schandl
Buffalo Bills v Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo Bills v Cincinnati Bengals / John Grieshop/Getty Images

After injuries limited him to a career-low nine games in 2018, we're not going to see A.J. Green play a full season in 2019 either.

Green was forced to undergo ankle surgery in July, and while it was described as a minor surgery, the apparent best-case scenario for Green still includes missing two regular season games.

The Cincinnati Bengals have kept mum about Green's health this summer, and perhaps that's why his average draft position (ADP) hasn't fallen very far. He's still going off the board at WR24, making him a fifth-round fantasy football pick. That's only seven spots later than he was going immediately following the injury.

It's going to be a real uphill battle for Green to return any kind of fantasy value at that draft price in a Bengals offense that is one of the league's worst units for fantasy football.

Green finished 15th at WR in fantasy points per game in 2018, so if he were a lock for a fully healthy 14 games, this ADP may still offer some value.

That 14-game projection was delivered as a best-case scenario though, so it would come as no surprise if it took him longer to get back on the field. And even once he does return, an ankle injury can be an especially impactful one at the WR position. It may take Green a few games to get up to speed.

Green is an elite wide receiver, and his career 8.7 yards per target rank 14th among the 60 players who have seen at least 500 targets since he entered the league in 2011. In a top offense, he may still be worth rolling the dice on this year, but Cincy does not have a high-powered offense. Even if things play out perfectly for Green, the value he could return on an ADP this high isn't overly exciting.

At this point Green is likely being drafted close to where his ceiling is for the 2019 season, making him someone to avoid unless he starts really tumbling down draft boards over the final week of the offseason.

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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.