Cover Photo: Gregory Shamus/Getty Images
The Michigan Wolverines have had a great season so far and currently sit at No. 7 in the AP poll. Michigan can clinch a share of the Big Ten regular season title with a win over No. 9 Michigan State on Saturday and it's a mortal lock for a Top 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament.
However, at the moment they're not going to get a No. 1 seed.
Michigan has the talent to win it all and may very well be dancing deep into March, but right now, it's not a No. 1 seed. Here's why:
1. The Penn State Loss
Gregory Shamus/Getty Image
Michigan's resume is very good, but the one smudge on it keeps them out of the No. 1 seed. Penn State is 12th in the Big Ten and 12-17 on the season. It's not even an NIT team and it beat Michigan by 6. It's the reason why the Wolverines dropped out of the Top 5 in the AP Poll and it's what will keep it out on the bracket.
2. The ACC is Too Stacked
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images
There are currently three ACC teams ahead of Michigan in the AP Poll and at least two of them could get No. 1 seeds. While Michigan beat UNC earlier this season, the ability to have multiple games and wins against other Top 5 opponents just elevates the UVA/UNC/Duke trio into top-seed status.
3. The SEC has Two Top Teams
Andy Lyons/Getty Images
The other teams boxing Michigan out of a top seed are the Tennessee/Kentucky duo at the top of the SEC. Unless they both bomb out of the SEC tournament, one of these teams is going to get a No. 1 seed. Tennessee has wins over Gonzaga and Kentucky, while Kentucky has wins over UNC and Tennessee.
4. Only One Top 10 Win
Gregory Shamus/Getty Images
We've hinted at it when talking about the ACC and SEC, but while Michigan has a great resume, it lacks major punch at the top. The win over UNC looks great, but Villanova has dropped off a bit to No. 23, Indiana isn't close to ranked anymore, Wisconsin is 21 and Maryland is 24. The 7-1 record against ranked teams is still impressive, but the lack of Top 5/Top 10 wins is what could hold the Wolverines back.
5. Michigan Isn't the Best Team in the Big Ten
Gregory Shamus/Getty Images
The reason Michigan doesn't have two top wins is because it lost to Michigan State at home. They've also lost to Wisconsin and Iowa, team's Michigan State beat on the road. If the Spartans hold serve against Michigan in East Lansing, there's no way the Wolverines get a No. 1 seed. If Michigan secures another Top 10 win on the road then we'll see. But for now, the Spartans are the top team in the Big Ten and that keeps Michigan at No. 2.
Join FanDuel Sportsbook Today. New users get a risk-free bet up to $500. Join Now.
Ian McCafferty is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Ian McCafferty also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username itmccaff. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.