Jake Arrieta

5 Most Overrated MLB Pitchers Heading Into 2019

Cover Photo: Getty Images

Every baseball season there are a handful of pitchers who will get a ton of hype and never back it up. Some of these players are accomplished veterans on the decline. Some are young talented players who just aren't ready to put it all together for a full season. Some are just plain overrated. Here's five big-name MLB pitchers who won't live up to the hype. 

5. Chris Archer, Pirates

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Chris Archer is one of those players who each year is projected to make "the leap" and he always seems to disappoint. Archer is coming off of a subpar campaign in 2018 and hasn't had an ERA below 4.00 since 2015. This past season, he was traded from the Tampa Bay Rays to the Pittsburgh Pirates mid-season and put up similar numbers in his new home.  

Tampa Bay: 17 games started, 3-5 record, 4.31 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.

Pittsburgh Pirates: 10 games started, 3-3 record, 4.30 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.

His 2018 numbers were only marginally worse than his career marks. Since entering the league in 2012, Archer has compiled a 57-71 career record, a 3.72 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.

4. Jose Quintana, Cubs

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Jose Quintana is another big-name pitcher whose production doesn't match the hype. Quintana hasn't recorded an ERA below 4.00 since 2016 and was a big disappointment in 2018 considering how well he pitched for the Cubs the previous year after being dealt from the White Sox mid-season.

2017 (after trade to Cubs): 14 games started, 7-3 record, 3.74 ERA, 98 strike-outs and 1.10 WHIP.

2018 (full season with Cubs): 32 games started, 13-11 record, 4.03 ERA, 158 strike-outs and 1.32 WHIP.

3. Jon Lester, Cubs

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Jon Lester just turned 35 and is headed into his 13th MLB season. In 2018, Lester bounced back from a tough 2017 campaign that saw him record a 4.33 ERA, his worst since 2012. 

In 2018 he got his ERA back down to 3.32, but advanced statistics indicate this low mark was an aberration and Lester will likely continue to do what many 35-year-old athletes do: regress. 

2. Rick Porcello, Red Sox

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Rick Porcello has only recorded an ERA below 4.00 in three of his 10 big league seasons. While Porcello had far and away the best season of his career in 2016, leading the league with 22 wins and taking home the AL Cy Young Award, one look at his production since tells the story. Since 2016, he hasn't recorded an ERA below 4.28, which is right in line with his career 4.26 ERA. That's no elite. 

1. Jake Arrieta, Phillies

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Jake Arrieta is another former Cy Young Award winner who is past his prime. Arrieta has regressed each year since winning the Cy Young in 2015. His ERA climbed from a stifling 1.77 in 2015 to 3.10 in 2016, then up to 3.53 in 2017 and all the way up to 3.96 in 2018. That's not the direction you want to see a star's numbers going. Arrieta turns 33 this season and is recovering from meniscus surgery on his left knee. That doesn't set up for a good season. 

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