The New Orleans Saints and Kansas City Chiefs are the respective No. 1 seeds from the NFC and AFC, but that's been far from a guarantee that we'll see both top teams face off in the Super Bowl.
In fact, according to the odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, there's less than a 22 percent chance that we see the Saints defeat the Chiefs in Super Bowl LIII, and less than a 20 percent chance we see the Chiefs beat the Saints.
All #SuperBowlLIII Outcomes' Implied Probability According to @FDSportsbook Odds:— The Duel (@TheDuelSports) January 16, 2019
Saints > Chiefs: (21.7%)
Chiefs > Saints (19.2%)
Saints > Patriots (16.7%)
Patriots > Saints (15.7%)
Rams > Chiefs (14.8%)
Chiefs > Rams (13.5%)
Rams > Patriots (11.4%)
Patriots > Rams (10.9%)
Removing the matchup aspect, the Saints have the greatest implied probability of winning the Super Bowl outright at 36.4 percent. Despite Tom Brady leading the Pats to appearances in three of the last four Super Bowls, and winning Super Bowl LI in 2017, New England and LA currently have the same implied probability to win Super Bowl LIII.
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David Hayes is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, David Hayes also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username DavidWHayes. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.