Cover Photo: Kirk Irwin/Getty Images


If you're still alive in your NFL survivor pool through nine weeks then you've clearly been doing something right -- either that or you've been insanely lucky. Whatever the case may be, you are now inching closer to the perfect season on the final stretch. 


It won't be easy going forward, though, as you've already picked nine teams that you can no longer go back to for a win. However, with a little bit of luck and this helpful chart, you should have some more insight going into Week 10. 

There's a lot of numbers and colors on the screen right now, so let's take a moment to explain how this chart can actually help. 


On the left, the table shows how likely a team is to win each of its remaining games, given the opponent that week. Any game that is 100 percent is actually 99.8 percent just rounded up since there are no certainties in sports, and the colors correlate to certain tiers of probabilities. 


The dark green is for the 90 percent-and-above win projections and the green gets lighter the closer we get to 50 percent. Obviously, you're going to want to pick the green teams and stay away from the red.


The table on the right is for formulating your plan going forward. It shows how the win likelihoods rank among the teams themselves. While the New York Giants have only a 49 percent chance to win this week, it is their best chance the rest of the season and thus ranked No. 1 in the right table.


For Week 10, the Kansas City Chiefs are your best bet if you somehow went this long without picking them. No other teams join the Chiefs in the 90-plus percentage zone, but the Los Angeles Chargers sit at 87 percent and the Chicago Bears at 81 percent behind them. 

Other teams with decent outlooks are the Los Angeles Rams, the New Orleans Saints and the New York Jets -- the latter of whom, would be your biggest value pick as this is their best game remaining, but it might be risky to rely on the Jets this late in the year. 


Now, it is truly up to you to use this information for good and to try not to get bounced over the remaining eight weeks. 


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Ian McCafferty is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Ian McCafferty also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username itmccaff. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.