Cover Photo: Will Newton/Getty Images


The home underdog has long been a source of profit in the NFL betting world, as getting points for a team that already has home-field advantage can often be a steal. It's hard enough to win on the road in the NFL, let alone cover the spread. 


So far in 2018, home underdogs are 19-14 against the spread and were 19-9 before a massive regression in Week 7. 


Here's how home underdogs have performed week by week this year:


Week 1: 2-2

Week 2: 4-1

Week 3: 3-1

Week 4: 3-1

Week 5: 4-0

Week 6: 3-3

Week 7: 0-5


So home dogs had a regression to the mean in Week 7 but that doesn't mean they're still not a solid choice moving forward. They had only not covered six times over the first five weeks and either way they're still above .500 on the year. There are five true home underdogs in Week 8 as well as the Jacksonville Jaguars who are playing a "home" game in London. If it matters, the Jags are 1-0 this year as true home underdogs.  


The New York Giants opened as one point underdogs against the Washington Redskins but the line on FanDuel Sportsbook has since shifted to NYG -1. This is probably a good thing as the Giants are already 0-3 as home underdogs. 


However, there are still five home underdogs as the Minnesota Vikings are now +1 against the New Orleans Saints. This would be Minnesota's first time as a home underdog this season. Another line that's moved since opening is the Arizona Cardinals who were -1 over the 49ers but now sit at +1 heading into the weekend. The Cardinals are 2-1 against the spread this year as home dogs. 


The other three games remain relatively unchanged. The Carolina Panthers are +2.5 against the Baltimore Ravens. Carolina has yet to be a home underdog this year but the Ravens are 1-1 as road favorites. The Buffalo Bills are massive 14-point underdogs against the New England Patriots on Monday night and are 1-1 this year as a home underdog. The Pats are 1-2 as road favorites. 


Finally, there's the Oakland Raiders who are +3 against the Colts. The Raiders are a home underdog for the second time this season and are 0-1 so far. 


So to recap your current home underdogs on Fanduel Sportsbook are:


MIN (+1)

ARI (+1)

CAR (+2.5)

BUF (+14)

OAK (+3)


While all but the Buffalo spread are small, there are still some intriguing picks to be made here. With home underdogs hitting at a 55 percent rate there's a pretty good chance at least two if not three of those teams are going to cover. As we saw last week, it's not a foolproof plan, but any sort of help should always be appreciated. 


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Ian McCafferty is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Ian McCafferty also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username itmccaff. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.