Cover Photo: Tim Warner/Getty Images


Thursday Night Football has been less than impressive the past month or so following a fantastic start to the year. After an Eagles-Falcons playoff rematch in Week 1, getting Baker Mayfield's first win in Week 3 and a shootout between the Rams and Vikings in Week 4, the last four weeks of Thursday Night Football have been nothing but blowouts. 38-21 New England Patriots over the Colts, 34-13 Eagles over Giants, 45-10 Broncos over Cardinals and this Thursday 42-23 Texans over Dolphins. 

But while the games haven't been of the highest quality for the neutral fan, we've started to see some interesting betting trends emerge for the prime time games. 

Suddenly the blowouts make a lot more sense in this context. It's not just that one team is getting trounced every week, it's that the favorites are doing it and almost always covering the spread. It made sense for the Patriots and Eagles, but the Broncos and Texans were a bit of a surprise even if they were the favorites. The only two primetime underdogs to cover this year are the Bengals in Week 2 and the Browns in Week 3. There also have been a boatload of points scored the past four weeks leading to the four straight overs. 


Elsewhere, favorites have dominated the Sunday Night block as well, even if they haven't covered as consistently. Also, the points have been harder to come by, outside of Patriots-Chiefs. 


Then Monday night flips the script by having road teams hitting at an 80 percent clip, this week's road team is the New England Patriots favored by two touchdowns.  


But if you're looking for a way to start your NFL week off on the right foot, consider taking the favorite in next weeks awful San Francisco 49ers vs. Oakland Raiders game. The numbers will be in your favor. 


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Ian McCafferty is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Ian McCafferty also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username itmccaff. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.