3 Stats That Prove the Mets Are Legitimate World Series Contenders

Tristan Jung
The Mets' 2020 World Series hopes are very real, and that starts with Jacob deGrom and the bullpen.
The Mets' 2020 World Series hopes are very real, and that starts with Jacob deGrom and the bullpen. / Emilee Chinn/Getty Images
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Many fans of the New York Mets will be hoping 2020 is the year everything comes together. Although they haven't made the playoffs since 2016, the Mets are once again positioned to be contenders in the NL East.

The Mets are coming off an 86-76 season that left many fans with a sense of what could have been. Despite having the NL Rookie of the Year in Pete Alonso and Cy Young winner in Jacob deGrom, a glut of bullpen collapses kept the Mets from the playoffs and cost manager Mickey Callaway his job.

The front office transition has been rocky, with Carlos Beltran stepping down already and being replaced by Luis Rojas, but the Mets have an interesting collection of young talent and established stars.

The Mets are currently +2100 to win the championship according to FanDuel Sportsbook, but those numbers could improve quickly if things go well. Here are three stats that prove the Mets could be contenders in 2020.

1. Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso: 143 wRC+

2019 NL Rookie of the Year Pete Alonso celebrates in the last game of the season in 2020.
2019 NL Rookie of the Year Pete Alonso celebrates in the last game of the season in 2020. / Mike Stobe/Getty Images

Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso gave their fans enormous amount of hope for the future by playing at an extremely high level in 2019. Alonso's achievements were well-documented: he set the rookie home run record with 53 bombs and led the Mets' position players in all forms of wins above replacement (WAR). McNeil also established himself as a top player, slashing .318/.384/.531 in his first full season. In total, both players averaged exactly the same wRC+ with 143. If the Mets have any hope of contending in 2020, McNeil and Alonso must back up their breakouts. If they can prove that 2019 was no fluke, the Mets will have a very dangerous lineup in 2020.

2. Mets Starting Pitchers' FIP: 3.76

The Mets' Noah Syndergaard was inconsistent in 2019, but still has elite stuff.
The Mets' Noah Syndergaard was inconsistent in 2019, but still has elite stuff. / Matthew Stockman/Getty Images

The Mets had one of the five best starting rotations in baseball last season, and that could very well continue in 2020. Last year, the Mets were fourth overall in fielding independent pitching (FIP) and homers allowed. They were also in the top eight in strikeouts per nine innings and ERA. With back-to-back Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom leading the rotation, the Mets will rely heavily on their pitching staff. Noah Syndergaard and Marcus Stroman provide the Mets with one of the best Nos. 1-3 staff in baseball. While the Mets will suffer after losing Zack Wheeler to the Phillies, they have Steven Matz, Rick Porcello, and Michael Wacha to offer some depth.

3. J.D. Davis: .895 OPS

J.D. Davis had a very successful start to his Mets career, playing in 140 games and hitting .307.
J.D. Davis had a very successful start to his Mets career, playing in 140 games and hitting .307. / Jamie Sabau/Getty Images

When the Mets acquired J.D. Davis from the Houston Astros last offseason, reactions were muted, at best. Davis responded to the change in scenery by having a fantastic season, hitting .307/.369/.527 with 22 homers over 453 plate appearances. A far cry from the player who hit .175 in 42 games in 2018. Davis crushed lefties and righties and provided a solid foundation for the Mets lineup in 2019. His breakout year and positional versatility—Davis can play first, third, and corner outfield—has given the Mets a ton of flexibility, and his continued success will play a key role in the Mets plans for 2020.


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Tristan Jung is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Tristan Jung also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username tristan1117. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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