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3 Best Dark Horse Super Bowl MVP Picks

FairwayJay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers receiver Mike Evans is a slept on candidate in the Super Bowl LV MVP odds.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers receiver Mike Evans is a slept on candidate in the Super Bowl LV MVP odds. / Sarah Stier/Getty Images
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With the Super Bowl LV matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs on the horzion, bettors are already looking at the Super Bowl MVP odds.

It's no surprise that the odds clearly favor the two quarterbacks, Patrick Mahomes (-105) and Tom Brady (+220). Quarterbacks have won the MVP award in 30 Super Bowls.

But look down the list and there's other intriguing candidates outside of the high profile quarterbacks. With that in mind, here are three dark horse picks to win Super Bowl MVP.

Super Bowl MVP Dark Horses

1. Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3400)

If you like the Buccaneers to win, then Mike Evans could be an MVP pick. This year, the supremely talented Evans had a team-leading 1,006 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns on just 70 receptions. The 6-foot-5 receiver is Brady's prime target and top red zone option. Evans caught 6 balls for 119 yards in their Wild Card win over Washington, but he was slowed down against New Orlenas and Green Bay. Still, to beat the Chiefs, Brady and the Buccaneers will need to get the ball to Evans, which gives him a shot at MVP.

2. Chris Godwin, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3400)

Evans will draw more coverage, but Chris Godwin is a game breaker too. Godwin was one of the more reliable targets in the slot in 2020, generating the highest catch rate (85.7%), second-highest passer rating when targeted (138.3), and highest contested-catch rate (81.8%). He was Brady's top option in the NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers, seeing 9 targets and hauling in 5 catches for 110 yards. Against the Chiefs in Week 12, Godwin also was a top target, totaling 8 catches for 97 yards. Should Godwin put up similar numbers and catch a touchdown or two in a win, he'll be a serious contender for Super Bowl MVP.

3. Mecole Hardman, WR, Kansas City Chiefs (+10000)

A Chiefs win is the percentage play, so we add a huge long shot in Kansas City wideout Mecole Hardman. It's not likely a running back will have enough success against the Bucs' stout defensive front to garner enough stats for MVP, so Hardman is a sneaky choice behind Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. Hardman caught a touchdown in the AFC Championship, and he'll get more single coverage against the Buccaneers. Another positive adding to Hardman's possible MVP candidacy is that he's the Chiefs' kickoff and punt returner. What if he can break a special teams return for a touchdown? He'd certainly be in the mix for MVP.


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