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3 Best Baker Mayfield Prop Bets for Divisional Round Game Against the Chiefs

FairwayJay
Quarterback Baker Mayfield leads the Browns agaisnt the Chiefs in NFL Playoffs
Quarterback Baker Mayfield leads the Browns agaisnt the Chiefs in NFL Playoffs / Justin Casterline/Getty Images
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The Cleveland Browns (12-5) tackle the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs (14-2) on Sunday, Jan. 17 in the NFL playoffs divisional round. Kickoff is at 3:05 p.m. ET on CBS from Arrowhead Stadium and the Chiefs are a 10-point favorite over the Browns at FanDuel Sportsbook.

The bookmakers posting the NFL playoff odds also expect a shootout with the highest over/under of the playoffs with a total of 57 points.

Bettors searching for NFL prop bets to add to their portfolio can count on the numerous options offered by FanDuel Sportsbook. Here are three of the best prop bets for Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield.

1. Pass Completions: OVER 22.5 (+108)

Mayfield's recent play has been very good with 19 touchdowns and two interceptions over his past 11 games. While the Browns will try to utilize their strong third-ranked running game in yards with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, Cleveland is balanced and capable of trading punches and scores. The Chiefs are below average against the run and even worse allowing receiving yards out of the backfield. Mayfield averaged 19.2 completions per game which included 21 in last week's Wild Card win. Edges in the postseason come come down to understanding certain matchups, and Mayfield should have more short and screen passing opportunities in this match-up and even more pass attempts if the Browns are playing from further behind as the game progresses.

2. Passing Yards: OVER 260.5 (-112)


Mayfield's decision making and ability to make plays and read coverages improved significantly starting in mid-October as he became more comfortable in new head coach Kevin Stefanski's system. It's still a run-focused offense, but should also include more passes in the short passing game against the Chiefs suspect linebackers. Mayfield’s prop number has adjusted significantly in this matchup, as 260.5 is the second or third-highest yardage number for him this season. Some adjustment was warranted, however, as Mayfield has passed for at least 263 yards in five of his last six games. Based on projections, game flow and match-ups along with the greater potential of the Browns playing from behind, Mayfield should get a chance to pass for plenty of yards again.

3. Rushing Yards (UNDER 13.5)


Mayfield averaged 9.7 rushing yards per game this season, which includes 3 yards in last week's Wild Card win over the Steelers. Dig deeper and you'll see he's run or scrambled with the ball at least 3 times in each game since Nov. 1. But in nine road games this season, Mayfield did not eclipse this prop total. He'll rely on his two running backs more this week in the running and shorter pass game, and hopefully, Baker does not take off and run much at all.

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