Alabama vs Mississippi State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 25

The Alabama Crimson Tide (20-7, 11-4 SEC) will attempt to build on a four-game home winning streak when they take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-14, 5-10 SEC) on February 25, 2026 at Coleman Coliseum.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPNU
• Location: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
• Arena: Coleman Coliseum

Alabama is a 12.5-point favorite against Mississippi State on Wednesday and the over/under is set at 174.5 points. Below are a few betting trends and insights before you place a wager on the game.

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Alabama has compiled an 11-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Mississippi State has compiled a 10-17-0 ATS record so far this year.
• When playing at home, the Crimson Tide sport a worse record against the spread (4-9-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (4-4-0).
• This year, the Bulldogs are 4-10-0 at home against the spread (.286 winning percentage). On the road, they are 5-3-0 ATS (.625).
• Alabama's record against the spread in conference action is 5-9-0.
• Mississippi State has beaten the spread six times in 14 SEC games.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Alabama has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win 15 times (83.3%) in those games.
• The Crimson Tide have been a -952 moneyline favorite on six occasions this season and won every game.
• Mississippi State has won four of the 13 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (30.8%).
• The Bulldogs have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of +610 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Alabama has a 90.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Alabama averages 92.6 points per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 83.9 per contest (355th in college basketball). It has a +236 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 8.7 points per game.
• Labaron Philon ranks 14th in the nation with a team-leading 21.3 points per game.
• Mississippi State has a -27 scoring differential, putting up 78.3 points per game (129th in college basketball) and allowing 79.3 (316th in college basketball).
• Josh Hubbard is ranked ninth in college basketball with a team-high 22 points per game.
• The Crimson Tide win the rebound battle by an average of 1.1 boards. They are pulling down 37.4 rebounds per game (14th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 36.3 per contest.
• Amari Allen averages 7.6 rebounds per game (ranking 97th in college basketball) to lead the Crimson Tide.
• The Bulldogs pull down 36.4 rebounds per game (27th in college basketball) while conceding 34.7 per outing to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.7 boards per game.
• Achor Achor is 204th in college basketball with 6.6 rebounds per game, leading the Bulldogs.
• Alabama ranks 23rd in college basketball with 106.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 229th in college basketball defensively with 96.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Bulldogs' 95.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 227th in college basketball, and the 97 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 238th in college basketball.

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