Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 25

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: FedExForum -- Memphis, Tennessee
• Coverage: NBCS-BA and FDSSE

The Golden State Warriors (30-28) are favored by 4 points against the Memphis Grizzlies (21-35) on Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on NBCS-BA and FDSSE. The matchup has a point total of 227.5.

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Grizzlies win (52.4%)

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Betting Trends

• The Warriors have covered the spread in a matchup 25 times this season (25-32-1).
• The Grizzlies have 25 wins against the spread in 56 games this season.
• This season, 33 of the Warriors' games have gone over the point total out of 56 chances.
• Grizzlies games this year have gone over the total in 27 of 56 opportunities (48.2%).
• Golden State has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered 14 times in 30 opportunities at home, and it has covered 11 times in 28 opportunities on the road.
• The Warriors have eclipsed the over/under more consistently at home, hitting the over in 19 of 30 home matchups (63.3%). In road games, they have hit the over in 14 of 28 games (50%).
• This season, Memphis is 12-16-0 at home against the spread (.429 winning percentage). Away, it is 13-14-1 ATS (.464).
• Grizzlies games have finished above the over/under 53.6% of the time at home (15 of 28), and 42.9% of the time away (12 of 28).

Warriors Leaders

• Brandin Podziemski is averaging 12.2 points, 3.7 assists and 5 rebounds.
• Moses Moody is averaging 11.9 points, 1.6 assists and 3.4 boards.
• Draymond Green's numbers on the season are 8.5 points, 5.7 boards and 5.1 assists per game, shooting 41% from the floor and 32% from downtown, with an average of 1.5 made 3-pointers.
• Quinten Post averages 7.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists, shooting 43.5% from the floor and 34.2% from downtown, with 1.4 made treys per game.
• Al Horford averages 7.9 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists, shooting 43.3% from the field and 35.4% from downtown, with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game.

Grizzlies Leaders

• Cam Spencer is averaging 11.3 points, 2.7 boards and 5.6 assists for the Grizzlies.
• Per game, Jaylen Wells provides the Grizzlies 12.3 points, 3.4 boards and 1.7 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• The Grizzlies are getting 7 points, 2 boards and 3.4 assists per game from Walter Clayton Jr.
• GG Jackson's numbers on the season are 10 points, 3.8 boards and 1.3 assists per game. He is making 49.6% of his shots from the floor and 33.9% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.1 treys.
• Taylor Hendricks averages 5.6 points, 3.3 rebounds and 0.8 assists. He is sinking 43.5% of his shots from the field.

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