2019 NBA Draft Lottery Odds, Projected Order and Lowest Possible Picks for Top-10 NBA Lottery Teams

David Hayes
Oklahoma City Thunder v Memphis Grizzlies - Game Four
Oklahoma City Thunder v Memphis Grizzlies - Game Four / Andy Lyons
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Cover Photo: Getty Images

Now that the 2018-19 NBA regular season is already fading in the rear-view mirror, fanbases of the league's worst teams finally have something to get excited for: the 2019 NBA Draft Lottery.

Thanks to some key changes to the way in which the NBA's lottery system works following last season, the new odds and probabilities of deciding the draft order has become admittedly more complicated.

Here are each NBA lottery team's respective odds to get the No. 1 overall pick, along with the lowest possible draft order position each franchise could drop to in the 2019 NBA Lottery Draw scheduled for May 14.

1. New York Knicks' 2019 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

Probability of Getting No. 1 Pick: 14.0 percent

Probability of Getting Top-4 Pick: 52.1 percent

Worst Possible Lottery Position: No. 5 pick

Knicks' Projected Selection with No. 1 Pick: Zion Williamson, PF

2018-19 NBA Record: (17-65)

2. Cleveland Cavaliers' 2019 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

Probability of Getting No. 1 Pick: 14.0 percent

Probability of Getting Top-4 Pick: 52.1 percent

Worst Possible Lottery Position: No. 6 pick

Cavaliers' Projected Selection with No. 2 Pick: RJ Barrett, SF

2018-19 NBA Record: (19-63)

3. Phoenix Suns' 2019 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

Probability of Getting No. 1 Pick: 14.0 percent

Probability of Getting Top-4 Pick: 52.1 percent

Worst Possible Lottery Position: No. 7 pick

Suns' Projected Selection with No. 3 Pick: Ja Morant, PG

2018-19 NBA Record: (19-63)

4. Chicago Bulls' 2019 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

Probability of Getting No. 1 Pick: 12.5 percent

Probability of Getting Top-4 Pick: 48.1 percent

Worst Possible Lottery Position: No. 8 pick

Bulls' Projected Selection with No. 4 Pick: Darius Garland, PG

2018-19 NBA Record: (22-60)

5. Atlanta Hawks' 2019 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

Probability of Getting No. 1 Pick: 10.5 percent

Probability of Getting Top-4 Pick: 42.1 percent

Worst Possible Lottery Position: No. 9 pick

Hawks' Projected Selection with No. 5 Pick: Jarrett Culver, SG

2018-19 NBA Record: (29-53)

6. Washington Wizards' 2019 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

Probability of Getting No. 1 Pick: 9.0 percent

Probability of Getting Top-4 Pick: 37.2 percent

Worst Possible Lottery Position: No. 10 pick

Wizards' Projected Selection with No.6 Pick: DeAndre Hunter

2018-19 NBA Record: (32-50)

7. New Orleans Pelicans' 2019 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

Probability of Getting No. 1 Pick: 6.0 percent

Probability of Getting Top-4 Pick: 26.3 percent

Worst Possible Lottery Position: No. 13 pick (pending ping pong ball drawing)

Pelicans' Projected Selection with No. 7 Pick: Cam Reddish, SG/SF

2018-19 NBA Record: (33-49)

8. Memphis Grizzlies' 2019 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

Probability of Getting No. 1 Pick: 6.0 percent

Probability of Getting Top-4 Pick: 26.3 percent

Worst Possible Lottery Position: No. 13 pick (pending ping pong ball drawing)

Grizzlies' Projected Selection with No. 8 Pick: Coby White, PG/SG

2018-19 NBA Record: (33-49)

9. Dallas Mavericks' 2019 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

Probability of Getting No. 1 Pick: 6.0 percent

Probability of Getting Top-4 Pick: 26.3 percent

Worst Possible Lottery Position: No. 13 pick (pending ping pong ball drawing)

Mavericks' Projected Selection with No. 9 Pick: Jaxson Hayes, PF/C

2018-19 NBA Record: (33-49)

10. Minnesota Timberwolves' 2019 NBA Draft Lottery Odds

Probability of Getting No. 1 Pick: 3.0 percent

Probability of Getting Top-4 Pick: 13.9 percent

Worst Possible Lottery Position: No. 14 pick

Timberwolves' Projected Selection with No. 10 Pick: Brandon Clarke, PF/C

2018-19 NBA Record: (36-46)


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David Hayes is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, David Hayes also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username DavidWHayes. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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