The Duel

Top 3 Sleepers for Home Runs in 2020 Fantasy Baseball Season

Jason Schandl
Athletics outfielder Khris Davis follows through on a swing against the Angels.
Athletics outfielder Khris Davis follows through on a swing against the Angels. / Victor Decolongon/Getty Images
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Home runs may only make up one scoring category in fantasy baseball, but there's no denying that it's the sexiest of the categories — for pitchers or hitters. It doesn't get more fun than home runs.

That can be a problem in fantasy baseball, though. Everyone knows about the big home run hitters, and players with big potential on that front are often going high in drafts.

By taking a dive into the stats though, looking at numbers that are tied closely to home runs, we can find some players being undervalued relative to their potential for dingers. With that in mind, here are the top three fantasy baseball sleepers for home runs in the 2020 season.

1. Renato Nunez, 1B, Baltimore Orioles

Renato Nunez runs the bases after hitting a home run against the Red Sox.
Renato Nunez runs the bases after hitting a home run against the Red Sox. / Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

One of our top first base sleepers, Renato Nunez's home run upside seems to be getting surprisingly little credit in fantasy drafts so far. Yes, his .244 batting average and 23.9 percent strikeout rate from 2019 can hurt, but he just posted a .216 isolated power (ISO) with career-high marks in both hard-hit rate (36.6 percent) and fly-ball rate (46.3 percent) last season, going yard 31 times. The Baltimore Orioles don't have the most exciting offense around, but Nunez is a serious bright spot.

2. Khris Davis, OF, Oakland Athletics

Khris Davis at the plate against the Mariners.
Khris Davis at the plate against the Mariners. / Rob Leiter/Getty Images

One of the top bounce-back slugger picks for the season, Khris Davis just hit an uncharacteristically low 23 bombs in 2019. The 32-year-old had 40-plus homers in three straight seasons before that, though, and his batted-ball profile suggests that 40 is still firmly within his range of outcomes. Davis lifted his hard-hit rate to a career-best 46.0 percent in 2019, and while his fly-ball rate was below his career average, 37.4 percent is still nothing to scoff at. Despite making more contact than ever, only 18.3 percent of his fly-balls turned into home runs, which was below both his career average (22.9 percent) and his mark from 2018 (24.1 percent). We can expect positive regression on that front to allow his power to shine again in 2020.

3. Kyle Lewis, OF, Seattle Mariners

Kyle Lewis at the plate against the Athletics.
Kyle Lewis at the plate against the Athletics. / Rob Leiter/Getty Images

A much deeper option than Davis, if you're looking for an outfield sleeper, Kyle Lewis played the first 18 major league games of his career in 2019. He made 75 appearances at the dish in that time, and he made the most of the opportunity by going yard six times, putting up a .592 slugging percentage and .324 ISO. We can't expect a clip that huge to keep up for Lewis, who didn't look like a huge power threat in the minors, but the 24-year-old clearly has some pop, giving him nice upside as a late-round flier.

For more preparation for your 2020 fantasy baseball draft, be sure to check out or fantasy baseball player rankings and top 10 fantasy baseball sleepers.


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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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