Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 7

Thunder vs. Rockets Game Info
- Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026
- Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Coverage: ABC
The Houston Rockets (31-19) are underdogs (by 4.5 points) to continue a three-game road win streak when they visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (40-12) on Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET. The matchup's point total is 213.5.
Thunder vs. Rockets Odds & Spread
All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | -4.5 | 213.5 | -180 | +152 |
Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction & Pick
All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (71.2%)
Thunder vs. Rockets Betting Trends
- The Thunder have covered the spread 25 times this season (25-26-1).
- Against the spread, the Rockets are 22-28-0 this year.
- Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 28 times out of 50 chances this season.
- Rockets games this season have gone over the point total 42% of the time (21 out of 50 games with a set point total).
- Against the spread, Oklahoma City has fared better when playing at home, covering 13 times in 27 home games, and 12 times in 25 road games.
- In terms of point totals, the Thunder hit the over less consistently at home, as they've eclipsed the total 13 times in 27 opportunities this season (48.1%). In road games, they have hit the over 15 times in 25 opportunities (60%).
- Houston's winning percentage against the spread at home is .348 (8-15-0). Away, it is .519 (14-13-0).
- Rockets games have gone above the over/under less often at home (seven times out of 23) than away (14 of 27) this year.
Thunder Leaders
- Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.7 points, 8.6 boards and 1.6 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.5 steals and 2 blocked shots (third in league).
- Cason Wallace's numbers on the season are 7.9 points, 3 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 41.7% from the floor and 36.3% from downtown, with an average of 1.4 made treys.
- Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 11 points, 10 boards and 3.1 assists per game, shooting 63.8% from the floor.
- Aaron Wiggins is averaging 10.8 points, 1.9 assists and 3.5 rebounds.
- Luguentz Dort is averaging 8.9 points, 4 boards and 1.2 assists.
Rockets Leaders
- Kevin Durant averages 26 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists. He is also draining 50.9% of his shots from the field and 40.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 triples per game.
- Alperen Sengun averages 20.9 points, 9.4 rebounds and 6.2 assists. He is also sinking 49.6% of his shots from the field.
- Amen Thompson's numbers on the season are 17.8 points, 7.6 rebounds and 5.5 assists per contest. He is making 50.2% of his shots from the floor.
- Jabari Smith Jr.'s numbers on the season are 15.1 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. He is sinking 43.7% of his shots from the field and 35.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.2 triples.
- Reed Sheppard's numbers on the season are 12.4 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game. He is sinking 41.8% of his shots from the floor and 37.9% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.4 triples.
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