Three weeks into the NFL season, we start to get a better feel for how things are shaking out this year. We have a lot more information to help us figure out which players' big games may have been flukes and which are signs of more big games to come in the future. On the other side of the coin, we also get a better idea of which disappointing players can still be counting on to bounce back and which ones fantasy owners should cut their losses on.
Fantasy Football Trade Value
With those fantasy football buy-low and sell-high opportunities in mind, here are four fantasy football trades worth pursuing immediately as we look forward to Week 4 of the 2019 season.
1. Trade For: Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers
Davante Adams doesn't even crack the top 50 wide receivers in standard fantasy scoring so far, but we also just witnessed what is likely to be his worst three-game stretch of the season. The Green Bay Packers opened 2019 with a brutal stretch of matchups, taking on the Chicago Bears, Minnesota Vikings and Denver Broncos. The Pack came away 3-0, but this means Adams was dealing with the best defense in the NFL in Week 1, then spent much of the next two games covered by Xavier Rhodes and Chris Harris. Even still, he's seen 25 percent of the team's targets, which isn't too far off the 27 percent he saw in 2018. We can also look for his touchdown production to pick up in a big way — he hasn't scored yet this year but has double-digit touchdowns in each of the last three seasons.
2. Trade Away: Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys
This isn't to say you should get desperate and accept any old low-ball offer for Amari Cooper, but if you can find someone willing to pay a price reflecting his standing as the fourth-highest scoring WR in fantasy, that's an opportunity you should jump on. Like Adams, Cooper has only 21 targets through three games, accounting for an even lower 23 percent market share in his offense. Cooper has been unsustainably efficient, and his 2.3 fantasy points per target are 0.5 more than any other WR with at least 20 targets. For context, he averaged 1.3 fantasy points per target in 2018. He certainly carries plenty of upside moving forward, but barring the Cowboys shifting to a far more pass-heavy approach, Cooper will have a hard time keeping up enough volume to remain a top-five fantasy wideout.
3. Trade For: Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons
Devonta Freeman is tied for 23rd in opportunities (35 carries and 12 targets) and 12th in snap rate (65.9 percent) to open the 2019 season. That's not the kind of workload that's likely to leave him 43rd in fantasy scoring at the position for long. No, Freeman doesn't look as efficient or explosive as he was before missing most of the 2018 season with an injury, but he does look to be finding his groove again. He's seen both his opportunities and snap share climb in each game this season, culminating in Week 3 with 16 carries and four targets on a 90.2 percent snap rate (fifth among RBs). Even if his efficiency doesn't improve much, an RB seeing workhorse volume is not going to continue to produce at a clip of 5.7 fantasy points per game for long.
4. Trade Away: Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans
Going in the other direction, Derrick Henry has seen his snap share fall with each passing week. His 59 percent snap rate in Week 1 wasn't exactly encouraging to start with, and in Week 2 he split snaps evenly with Dion Lewis before playing 57.5 percent to Lewis' 52.2 percent in Week 3. Four touchdowns through three games are really bolstering Henry's fantasy output right now, but despite their Week 1 outburst, the Titans' offense has not looked great in recent weeks, scoring only 24 points in their last two games. Henry's not going to keep scoring two-thirds of the team's TDs like he has in the last two games, especially when he's only playing half the available snaps. The RB5 in standard scoring so far, Henry's TD on Week 3's Thursday night game has kept the sell-high window open for this week.
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Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.