Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 11

Odds updated as of 6:12 p.m.

The Monday slate in MLB includes a matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Tampa Bay Rays.

Here's everything you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Blue Jays vs Rays Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays (18-22) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (26-13)
• Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
• Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
• Venue: Rogers Centre -- Toronto, Ontario
• Coverage: SN1 and Rays.TV

Blue Jays vs Rays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TOR: (-126) | TB: (+108)
• Spread: TOR: -1.5 (+172) | TB: +1.5 (-210)
• Total: 7 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Blue Jays vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays) - 2-2, 3.28 ERA vs Drew Rasmussen (Rays) - 2-1, 2.95 ERA

The Blue Jays will give the nod to Kevin Gausman (2-2, 3.28 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 3 on the season, and the Rays will counter with Drew Rasmussen (2-1, 2.95 ERA). Gausman and his team have a record of 4-4-0 against the spread when he starts. Gausman's team is 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Rays have gone 3-3-0 ATS in Rasmussen's six starts with a set spread. The Rays are 2-1 in Rasmussen's three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (51.4%)

Blue Jays vs Rays Moneyline

• The Blue Jays vs Rays moneyline has Toronto as a -126 favorite, while Tampa Bay is a +108 underdog on the road.

Blue Jays vs Rays Spread

• The Rays are at +1.5 on the runline against the Blue Jays. The Rays are -210 to cover the spread, and the Blue Jays are +172.

Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under

• A combined run total of 7 has been set for Blue Jays-Rays on May 11, with the over at -115 and the under at -105.

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Blue Jays vs Rays Betting Trends

• The Blue Jays have been favorites in 24 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (58.3%) in those contests.
• This season Toronto has come away with a win 10 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -126 on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays' games have gone over the total in 20 of their 40 opportunities.
• The Blue Jays have posted a record of 17-23-0 against the spread this season.
• The Rays have won 61.1% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (11-7).
• Tampa Bay has a 7-2 record (winning 77.8% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +108 or longer.
• In the 38 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Rays, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 19 times (19-19-0).
• The Rays have a 24-14-0 record against the spread this season (covering 63.2% of the time).

Blue Jays Player Leaders

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads Toronto with an OBP of .395 this season while batting .308 with 19 walks and 23 runs scored. He has a slugging percentage of .397.
• Among qualified hitters in the majors, he is 15th in batting average, 11th in on-base percentage, and 90th in slugging.
• Kazuma Okamoto leads Toronto in total hits (36) this season while batting .248 with 14 extra-base hits. He's slugging .483 with an on-base percentage of .331.
• Among all qualifying batters, he ranks 88th in batting average, 85th in on-base percentage and 37th in slugging percentage.
• Okamoto takes a nine-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .316 with two doubles, five home runs, six walks and 11 RBIs.
• Ernie Clement has hit two homers with a team-high .418 SLG this season.
• Clement enters this game with two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a home run and three RBIs.
• Daulton Varsho has four home runs, nine RBI and a batting average of .258 this season.
• Varsho brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with two walks.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero has 37 hits, a team-high for the Rays. He's batting .252 and slugging .497 with an on-base percentage of .339.
• Including all qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average places him 81st, his on-base percentage ranks 76th, and he is 33rd in slugging.
• Yandy Diaz has a .394 on-base percentage to pace his team. He has a batting average of .314 while slugging .464.
• He ranks 12th in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage and 46th in slugging percentage in MLB.
• Jonathan Aranda has five doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks while batting .268.
• Chandler Simpson paces his team with a .351 slugging percentage.

Blue Jays vs Rays Head to Head

• 5/6/2026: 3-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 5/5/2026: 4-3 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 5/4/2026: 5-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 9/28/2025: 13-4 TOR (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -210, Underdog Moneyline: +176)
• 9/27/2025: 5-1 TOR (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
• 9/26/2025: 4-2 TOR (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -190, Underdog Moneyline: +160)
• 9/18/2025: 4-0 TB (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 9/17/2025: 2-1 TB (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 9/16/2025: 6-5 TOR (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 9/15/2025: 2-1 TOR (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)

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