Spurs vs. Timberwolves Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 12

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Frost Bank Center -- San Antonio, Texas
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

The Minnesota Timberwolves are big 10.5-point underdogs for Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the San Antonio Spurs at Frost Bank Center on Tuesday, starting at 8 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock. The series is tied 2-2. The matchup has an over/under set at 218.5 points.

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (70.9%)

Spurs vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

• The Spurs have put together a record of 43-34-4 against the spread this season.
• The Timberwolves have played 82 games, with 38 wins against the spread.
• This season, Spurs games have hit the over 36 times.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 37 of 82 set point totals (45.1%).
• San Antonio has a worse record against the spread when playing at home (19-17-3) than it does on the road (24-17-1).
• In terms of point totals, the Spurs hit the over more consistently when playing at home, as they've eclipsed the total 18 times in 40 opportunities this season (45%). In away games, they have hit the over 18 times in 42 opportunities (42.9%).
• Against the spread, Minnesota has had better results away (20-21-0) than at home (18-23-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Timberwolves games have finished over 14 of 41 times at home (34.1%), and 23 of 41 on the road (56.1%).

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama is averaging 25 points, 11.5 boards and 3.1 assists. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 3.1 blocked shots (first in NBA).
• De'Aaron Fox is averaging 18.6 points, 6.2 assists and 3.8 boards.
• Stephon Castle averages 16.6 points, 5.3 boards and 7.4 assists, shooting 47.1% from the floor and 33.2% from downtown, with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Keldon Johnson is averaging 13.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Julian Champagnie averages 11.1 points, 5.8 boards and 1.5 assists, shooting 43.7% from the floor and 38.1% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 made 3-pointers per contest.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle averages 21.1 points for the Timberwolves, plus 6.7 rebounds and 5 assists.
• The Timberwolves get 28.8 points per game from Anthony Edwards, plus 5 boards and 3.7 assists.
• Rudy Gobert's numbers on the season are 10.9 points, 11.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. He is sinking 68.2% of his shots from the field (first in NBA).
• Per game, Naz Reid provides the Timberwolves 13.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.2 assists, plus 1 steal and 1 block.
• Per game, Jaden McDaniels gives the Timberwolves 14.8 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 1 block.

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