DK Metcalf Fantasy Outlook Includes Top-15 WR Upside

DK Metcalf fantasy football outlook points to real upside in 2020.
DK Metcalf fantasy football outlook points to real upside in 2020. / Steven Ryan/Getty Images

The DK Metcalf hype is getting out of control. Both fans and fantasy owners alike seem enamored with the 6-foot-4, 229-pound wide receiver. And it's hard to blame them. Metcalf's rare size-speed combo and impressive production down the stretch make him look poised for a breakout year.

But with an average draft position (ADP) of WR21, a potential leap has already been baked into his draft price, making him a high-risk, high-reward option in 2020.

DK Metcalf Fantasy Football Value

There's no doubt Metcalf has upside. Over his final three games, including the playoffs, Metcalf averaged 8.7 targets for 5.7 receptions and 100.0 yards per game, scoring 2 touchdowns during that span.

It's also like he was created in a lab to be Russell Wilson's favorite receiver. Wilson was Pro Football Focus' highest-graded passer on deep balls last year, and Metcalf is an exceptional downfield threat. The numbers also suggest Metcalf will get more of a chance to show that off next year.

Metcalf had the 25th-most air yards in the league last season (1,296), but he only had a 26 percent share of Seattle's air yards. Notably, 22 of the 24 players ahead of Metcalf in air yards had a higher market share than his 26 percent. That suggests Wilson should be looking his way more often in 2020.

There's definitely a lot to like about Metcalf, but at his current ADP you're essentially betting that he breaks out. Wide receiver is loaded this year and he's being taken ahead of some more established names, including his teammate Tyler Lockett.

His upside makes him hard to resist, but Metcalf is as risky a pick as it gets. He's got top-10 upside at WR, but he could also finish outside the top 30 again.

Metcalf clocks in at the WR26 in our 2020 fantasy rankings.

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Max Staley is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Max Staley also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mstaley1212. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.